Quote from llIHeroic:
Well, things have been relatively quiet with Silver. Much more exciting to see most of the major US indicies pressure the bottom of their channels. It is still difficult for me to draw out a solid hypothesis on what the next decent size move of Silver could look like, but I am attempting to keep a close eye on all of the factors affecting it in order to continue learning. Another annotated chart is attached.
It seems like it will be forced into a decision of sort in the next two weeks at the latest. Whatever the outcome, I hope that it will benefit me in understanding how to prioritize the strength of the various factors that I can observe which are currently acting upon the price.
I think this is currently my biggest obstacle to correctly entering shorter-term positions than I am used to. I am much more comfortable interacting with longer-standing Support and Resistance, which seem to be much stronger and more reliable than those on on the smaller time scale.
For example, I feel slightly foolish looking at the NQ chart for yesterday. I incorrectly gauged the strength of the TC Midpoint Resistance around 48/50 in relation to the pressure coming from the long-term upward direction of the NQ, along with it being in the bottom half of its long-standing channel, so I was looking for long entries. I took a break-even long at the open, and two small losers at the Hinge Midpoint and yesterday's OL. I was unable to shift my focus rapidly enough to get on the obvious ride back down to the bottom of the channel.
I was satisfied with the day though, it was a learning experience. Working on shorter time-frames, and especially trading the open yesterday is definitely prompting some growth in my understanding of Price Action. The good news is that I was able to make a fairly large long with an entry that I feel pretty comfortable with on the YM, and it's looking good so far. I intend to be holding it for a while unless something unexpected happens.