Son of If You Can Draw a Straight Line . . .

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Sorry, I was just trying to figure out where your 4 trades likely were...
As posted above, those were the one's that seemed most likely as best I understood your exercise and approach.

Yipes, I'm that far off from trading your approach!? <laughing>
I'd better do some more more work.
 
Quote from Hooti:

Sorry, I was just trying to figure out where your 4 trades likely were...
As posted above, those were the one's that seemed most likely as best I understood your exercise and approach.

What did I put in that is "not on your radar"?
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Well, you say you had losing trades. There was no reason why you should have. I suggest you go back to the beginning of the thread and replot your trading session to see where you went wrong. My telling you will not stick nearly as well as your puzzling it out. That's part of the process.
 
Quote from jack411:

I would not have taken a long there because for me the supply line would not have been broken yet.
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What is it about that bounce off 96 that might encourage somebody to exit the short and go long at that first retracement, even though the supply line has not been broken (and might not be, one of the hazards of analyzing charts in hindsight)?
 
Quote from dbphoenix:

What is it about that bounce off 96 that might encourage somebody to exit the short and go long at that first retracement, even though the supply line has not been broken (and might not be, one of the hazards of analyzing charts in hindsight)?
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I'll say it's this.
 

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Quote from dbphoenix:

What is it about that bounce off 96 that might encourage somebody to exit the short and go long at that first retracement, even though the supply line has not been broken (and might not be, one of the hazards of analyzing charts in hindsight)?
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Yes,

I would agree with Raaiman's post of the hourly just above. The hourly resistance turned support and price's inability to break below and instead bouncing back up.

*as well as previous support from the 23rd. I actually didn't have an hourly chart pulled up. I was just going off of the posted 1 min chart blindly, which actually provides a great example of keeping the higher time frame s/r areas in mind. Looking at just the 1 min turned out to be a "hazard of analyzing charts in hindsight", as you put it.
 
We are finding various kinds of confluent support or demand.

I wonder if it is the nature of the doji-like action there? Nod's triangle, or the dog didn't bark, or a higher low ....all in the area of support or demand?

the story changed, the energy of the short sellers changed.

But I'd better go back and do my prior assignment moreso.
I'm half way thru Magee, and am preview reading a few pages here and there of 'The nature of risk', which is next in my reading list.
 
Quote from riaamaan:

I'll say it's this.
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And you'd be right. Or wrong. But that's what I saw. And 40d probably would have taken it.

But there are problems. If one were to take that, he'd first have to exit his short. And what if price didn't break the supply line? Then there you are on the wrong side of the trade when you had been on the right side and abandoned it.

So, for me, better to wait for that supply line break and give up the few extra points. OTOH, if one is quick enough, and awake enough, and can jump back in on the short side if the supply is NOT broken and there's a good spot to do so, fine. But that's a lot of decisions to be made quickly at that hour of the morning. Especially if one is having allergy issues.

Even so, you and Jack are on the right track. But don't forget to plot the 50% levels. Those will provide another reason why I didn't take that long.
 
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