Quote from dbphoenix:
You're thinking too much. Just follow price and don't look ahead. You don't know what's ahead, so there's no point in looking there.
Price rose from 20 to 30. It then fell to 25, halfway, and held there. That made the LOLR up. I entered at 25.75. Price then made it to the halfway point between 25 and 30, i.e., 27, and failed there. That made the LOLR down. There was no need to wait for anything else. If the LOLR had remained up, price would have risen. So after the demand line was broken, I went short at the first retracement thereafter, at 0640. Why wait?
The action at 0640 looks quite flat. I don't think I would have seen this as LOLR being down because while there was some R at 3227.25, the fall to 3225.75 represented too small a move to say that the LOLR was down. I would have called it neutral. I can see a plausible short at 0700 but not at 0640.