Some way to find trend

This is my simulation result for Chinese stock market index in 2009; I donot know how to get 60min , 30min , 15min stock data in excel format, is anyone can help me with that?
SZ 000001 60min.jpg
 
lindq said:
Trying to define a trend is much like trying to define pornography. You know it when you see it.
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200 day moving average was a very good measure of a trend; as IBD noted.And it still is a very good way to measure a trend............................................................................................................................................................................
 
Buy1Sell2 said:
no---trend is found without indicators or lines. It is found by price and price alone unless the signal is so strong that it cannot be ignored. Prices higher---trend is up, ---Prices lower--trend is down. Then make entries on shorter term charts. For example-- want to to trade the 1 minute chart? Look at 60 min for trend identification, then look at 15 min , 5 min and then make your entries and exits on the 1 minute chart. Do not trade counter to the tremd on the 60 min chart unless the signal is so strong that it cannot be ignored. It would be best to have 15 and 5 concur with the 1 minute, but it is not totally necessary except when deciding how long to let the trade run. All agree, then let it run farther. I can let you know about one of the keys to the kingdom, because it is unlikely that anyone will follow tenet
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Defined trend on the hourly chart does not grantee the 1-min chart will run in the same direction. Reversals on hourly charts starts from 1-min chart. Price on 1-minute chart could run for several days in opposite to hourly chart price-trend until you see confirmed rend change on hourly chart.

Your strategy may work during long-term bullish trend when volatility is low and it is take time for radical price trend changes. I do not think it will work in highly volatile markets. Check the current S&P 500 hourly and 1-minute chart now when when we have high volatility - you may have 1.5% trend changes within a single session and if you use hourly charts now to define trading on 1-minute chart you will be buying at the top and selling at the bottom.
 
Certainly hourly trend does not mean that 1 min or 5 min will run the same direction. However, over the long run, 1 min and 5 min trades taken in the direction of the hourly, will have a tendency to run further, with less obstacles, and be more profitable than trades against the hourly trend.
 
You cannot define a thrend without knowing which timeframe we are talking of.

Here AJ daily is in a downtrend (roughly)

AJ_Daily.png

But on the monthly it is rather an uptrend (here again roughly)

AJ_M.png


What may be seen as a consolidation on this monthly lookslike a nice full trend on the daily.

Therefore, you must defint which TF is your trading TF and which Tfs is important to define the trend.
 
stephane said:
onthly lookslike a nice full trend on the daily.

Therefore, you must defint which TF is your trading TF and which Tfs is important to define the trend.
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Except ET is so full of amateurs the concept of multi-timeframe is unknown to them or considered a waste of time.

Nice to see someone approaching this crap the right way.

Now tell them how to determine which is the TF commanding the rest :)
 
I think the best way to show what to trend means to you is by posting a chart.
For me the optimal trend is to buy at the low and sell at the high of every significant move.
If you want to define the trend you should define these points. Who can tell me how to do that? :confused:
buy or sell.jpg
 
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