Soft commodities

Look back at the prices of said commodities during 08, we had record crops for every commodity (minus beans) and that really can inhibit a massive rally. Although beans are still much much higher on a ratio and historical basis versus beans and corn.
 
Quote from Rtrader2525:

Look back at the prices of said commodities during 08, we had record crops for every commodity (minus beans) and that really can inhibit a massive rally. Although beans are still much much higher on a ratio and historical basis versus beans and corn. [/QUO



Ok, I tell you what happened:
There is no global recovery/commodity rally, just an oversold bounce where the most speculative instruments...gold
oil...participates. Look at the bond market : predicting deflation.
There will be no higher rates for a very long time since the contraction in the global economy will continue. The China story
is dead....
 
Sure I do agree with that, but look at the size of the corn and wheat crops. Very strong carry in both markets, hard to mount an earth shattering rally with 160 bushel corn. Some guys in IA got 300 bushel!
 
Quote from Rtrader2525:

Sure I do agree with that, but look at the size of the corn and wheat crops. Very strong carry in both markets, hard to mount an earth shattering rally with 160 bushel corn. Some guys in IA got 300 bushel!

I am sure you right, I got no clue about futures ( I am an options trader),but see oil ...inventories are high as they could be and still managed to climb.
 
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