Now to return to the issue of "pool extraction". Our job as market order speculators is to provide liquidity for hedgers and to pay at least the spread for the noble service we provide to Olympian limit order traders. Collectively in the long term we are not supposed to make any money. And I can confirm from my daily codes running on an emini that this is indeed true. Most days we lose more than the minimum spread of a tick. Some days we are collectively net positive, but in the long haul, collectively we lose. By more than a tick. That's why they call it a tick.
What does this mean for SCT traders? Well you can bet that if they even trivially skew those stats they will find that the game has changed to frustrate them. I would not venture to hypothesize what the distribution of losers and winners is which keeps us all net losers. Nor how big winner outliers would have to be to provoke limit order traders to retaliate. But they are NOT going to lose money. In general they are not speculators themselves, they only want to make the spred-plus, day in, day out. THEY are the parasites. And YOU are not permitted to join the club.
But, Socratically speaking, you already knew all that. I'm just asking simple-minded questions.
What does this mean for SCT traders? Well you can bet that if they even trivially skew those stats they will find that the game has changed to frustrate them. I would not venture to hypothesize what the distribution of losers and winners is which keeps us all net losers. Nor how big winner outliers would have to be to provoke limit order traders to retaliate. But they are NOT going to lose money. In general they are not speculators themselves, they only want to make the spred-plus, day in, day out. THEY are the parasites. And YOU are not permitted to join the club.
But, Socratically speaking, you already knew all that. I'm just asking simple-minded questions.