Sobering analysis...

Quote from dhpar:

i second that. note that if he is wrong on inflation then he is also wrong on US dollar and therefore wrong on commodities. he then must be wrong on equilibrium P/Es and therefore wrong on S&P trajectory.

so apart of incoming housing problems (which is today known even to amazonian sloths) and consumer conservatism his analysis may not be that useful...:D

I said I 'think' because I cant be sure of that. the quote was made by some guy in a forum but Japan showed that a fiat government can fail as well perhaps shilling is betting on that outcome
 
Quote from Daal:

I said I 'think' because I cant be sure of that. the quote was made by some guy in a forum but Japan showed that a fiat government can fail as well

yeah - i got it.

also i said "his analysis may not be that useful" but of course it very well may be useful. it is just about odds you place on the outcome...
 
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