So this was like trading in the late 90s?

Any rookie trader (not saying you are one, but with such a statement do assume so) who doesn't backtest is like a person who has never bothered to study history.
Backtesting illuminates perceptions and misconceptions about market behavior.
Go into a trading career without backtesting is like starting a business without doing your homework.

Points well-taken. Backtesting is, much like paper-trading in the sense you discuss, a way to gain a feel, an experience, for how prices move, for someone who has not experienced such through an intimate and lengthy experience.

But I would never trade something developed on past data. To do so is to be looking at the same data everyone else is. Rather, I want to make money on the way smoke moves through a room, I want to make money by trading anything that moves, not necessarily how it has moved in the past. This means systems where you can see, intuitively, they have to work. All-too-often people start by developing strategies on past data, and they have unwittingly, in most cases, lent themselves prey to the Second Arc Sine Law.
 
Any one heard stories of people quitting their jobs to trade stocks in the late 1990s? So far, do you know people who did just that today? That could be the ultimate warning sign.

Ug. The start of the 1990s was almost 30 years ago. A different world now. Take that into account. You are moving now into the start of the 2020s. Keep things in perspective.

 
Any one heard stories of people quitting their jobs to trade stocks in the late 1990s? So far, do you know people who did just that today? That could be the ultimate warning sign.
Then it was easy to make money, you didn't need to know much...now you need skills and discipline, bull market not-with-standing. Of course I'm referring to trading and not managing a portfolio or what your IRA looks like.
 
Here you go, these are QoQ numbers from the official US government source. I have no idea who "other sources" are.
gdp3q17_3rd_chart.png



Well, people who spoon-feed others bullshit (no matter what side they are on) are not to be believed. That's the beauty of scientific approach - the data does not care if you are republican or a democrat. US markets had a good run in the last 8-9 years, it's a fact. Nominal GDP growth has been reasonable, that's also a fact. Productivity growth has been OK, that's also a fact. Wage growth has been sluggish, that's also a fact.

How you attribute these results is your own business (personally, I think that the political establishment has very little influence on the economic performance), but these numbers are the economic reality. I don't have an axe to grind with respect to either Obama or Trump, I just find it appealing how we seem to stumble onto "alternative facts" with respect to everything.

Perhaps you believe to readily. The government has strong left-leanings... has been known to "pad" data and stats to achieve desired response/results.

What you are trying to defend as "science", I suspect is more like propaganda.
 
From that chart, seems the 20th/21st century is a massive bubble.
Took 100 years at a time to go up 10-fold between 1500 and 1900. Since then, it has been nearly 200-times in 100 years. Any reason for this?

Yes: Property rights. Security. Education. All raise expected returns from investment in human capital.
 
The government has strong left-leanings... has been known to "pad" data and stats to achieve desired response/results.

"...has been known to..."
Bull E. Shit.
Fercrisakes, Scat.
I don't always agree with you, but you don't generally post stupid shit like this.
Shame on you.
Seriously.:(
 
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