So - the answer to "Will Putin Invade Ukraine"

Don't be distracted by Ukraine...algos were going to bring in new lows regardless.

Really. So without Russia Ukraine, we'd be this far down regardless. So you are suggesting what? That the algos have not priced in all these geopolitical risks, and we're going to crash further no matter what happens in Ukraine?

Nothing personal, but I hope you go bankrupt on that idea.
 
Not by a long shot. It's just starting now. Looks like we'll be revisiting March 2020 lows. Fine by me. Algos crashing the markets on nothing-burgers is getting old. I'm tried of it.
Like I said last month, we've probably seen highs for the year.

And nothing to do with Algos.
 
... and as I said, no sanctions on Russia in response to the invasion. All the threats - nothing.

Oh, Biden and the Europeans will impose sanctions on Russia. It won't be much as oil is going up and Russia still supplies Europe's natural gas, 35% of it. Higher oil and natural gas prices favor Russia. Inflation in the US can only get worse from here.
 
Really. So without Russia Ukraine, we'd be this far down regardless. So you are suggesting what? That the algos have not priced in all these geopolitical risks, and we're going to crash further no matter what happens in Ukraine?

Nothing personal, but I hope you go bankrupt on that idea.
I didn't say we are going to crash further, or even suggest this is a crash. Where I think it's going from here is another story.
 
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Again markets hate uncertainty and that's all we have now between Russia and Ukraine and interest rates.

Uncertainty every which way we look.

Again everything can be simplified.

First the fed doesn't have to wait until March to raise rates..just raise them 50 basis points and let's move on. Secondly everything about this Russia Ukraine situation is nothing but talk ... ...I believe all this talk would have become action by now.
 
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