Quote from OddTrader:
Psychologically, I guess most if not all profitable/ disciplined/ confident traders on ET individually would have the desires and funs that drive her/ him at least a few times to post/ provide some high-probability calls real-time in order to prove/ demonstrate her/ his trading successful/ profitable theories/ strategies/ systems/ methods that may or may not have been briefly posted/ mentioned openly on ET.
Is this assumption correct and valid in general terms? Why?
I don't think that this can be generalized.
Were a trader to post real time calls, the effect would be to place him at a spot on the continuum of other known trader's performance. He already knows that.
The continuum for theory and live calls is an identity once either is on the table.
If you wanted to see where everyone fits along a performance or methodology line you could ask for others to post who is better than they are or, conversely, who is worse than they are. trader's who think the opposite of one another probably would be as close to the same as their exaggerations.
For a person to communicate their performance skills, I feel it is best to let another know when you have a turn coming up before the turn. The better time to announce this is best determined by the person you are communicating the turn to.
The biggest variation in people chatting about performance to one another is their turn frequency and what % of trading time they are in the market. Polls on both of these would be helpful especially if each person also stated their vote.
I have found that most other traders offer me their opinions on where they are on the spectrum and how widely separated we both are on the spectrum.
When trading in hook ups that are live and in real time, most people prefer to be told over five minutes ahead of when the turn is going to be made. Personally, I rough out my log 3 to five trades ahead.
You have an interesting thread going here. It will probably get even more interesting as time passes.