8/3/11
Gross: +239
Shares: 17,800
Net: +159
*My net may be higher than my calculation, since I trade for free when I add liquidity now... Assuming 4.50 anyway to aim for the high side.
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Well, today was definitely a fun one, as far as watching the market. You saw the emotional dump as all the stops were triggered, and then the high volume bottom and accumulation grind.
I am personally bearish and think everyone buying this market is an idiot unless they have the right targets. The bull market is done, the market is not going to make new highs.
Had a rough open, was down about 100 gross as I took loser after loser.
I also tried something new today. Normally, I do not look at any earnings data, and I rarely pay attention to news specifics. I normally just read the level 2, because my opinion on fundamentals will not change the price's destiny. Today, I actually looked at earnings results and made a list of what beat estimates well and what missed by a good amount.
So XL beat pretty good, I saw it make an attempt at the gap, and I was thinking it could be a long once the morning selling is done. It closed at highs, cool. I only tried trading it once and got stopped out. But I like the idea. There were others, I'm not gonna go over em all.
I would also like to split up my stock sorters into a BEAT column and MISS column. Anything trading on the wrong side could be good to game a reversal...
Anyway, after taking a beating in the morning via a mix of silly trades, I finally found a setup in DFT. I shorted 23. Definitely could have gotten bigger but my P&L had me afraid to take another rip. I got 400. Covered at 70 cents and 55 cents on the first push. Then the market began to panic, I decided to hold my shorts. DFT didn't make a significant new low so I covered in the low 50s for the remaining. Traded perfectly. After it hit the 10% mark guys like me couldn't attack it.
My other short was NXTM. No setup on the chart fellas, it was a level 2 trade. I shorted just under 19. Covered at 75 cents and 65 cents. It went a point, but I'm not going to risk an emotional wick in this thin stock.
CRL - CRL found congestion at 36. Market was in panic mode. It presented defined risk and I was in short. Covered at 63 cents and 57 cents.
By this point I had turned my day around, from -87 to +200 rather quickly.
Also by this point, the market action had sucked me. Nothing was going to stop me from trading. Not today.
Hence, I did overtrade a bit, going after anything with potential to move.
Max gross was +262. Didn't finish much south of that but I racked up like another 7k shares, so the overtrading did hit me.
Only other stock I want to go over today is OC.
OC had some interesting dynamics going on, was a fun stock to watch. Strong morning sell off, panics with the market into 31 where it bounces over 1 point in 10 minutes. This is baller hedge funds trying to send a message, "HI THIS IS BOTTOM OK?" Well, as I said, everyone long is an idiot. The market is going LOWER, you should be SELLING! OC made a pennant pattern. I shorted the pattern as I detected weakness in the box, I felt the long was a one-sided trade, you had less players buying it, once they lost share power, it was game time. I shorted OC up at 31.77 inside the pennant, and added at 63 once the pattern was broken. Did not get much size because I am also aware that baller hedge fund can screw everyone on the short side with a click of a button. Right when it LOOKS like a short, they screw you. But not today, they were out of ammunition. I covered at 40 cents and 21 cents, thinking the outs were very high probability, because OC COULD make a higher low. OC made a new low, bounced, lower high, and now its closing near lows. I hope all the longs get smacked.
OH!!! 1 more trade I want to discuss. MISS OPPORTUNITY OF THE DAY. BKI
BKI, you bastard! BKI remained at lows while the market bounced. Began coiling under the 5 minute 10 period. CLASSIC setup. Beautiful setup. Only problem there was nothing solid in the level 2 to lean on and it wasn't very active. It could just have easily been a laggard. I shorted in the 24.60s. I got wicked out OMG. I was ready to load up if this thing began to trickle in my favor.
Once it broke 24.50, I didn't trust the stock anymore, I didn't like it. I had no idea what it was capable of, in either direction.
Hahahahaha, they wicked me out because I am a piker noob. Well done HFT bastards. That is why you are on yachts and I drive a Saturn.
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Anyway, I should avoid the morning, I don't like bad starts, they impact my size on good trades.
August R:R is 3.5 and Win % is 35%. I must understand that my current selectivity level is still too low.
Either way, I did not size up again today. While there was a ton of opportunity out there today, it was not the smoothest action. Lots of battling out there.
I expect we'll see cleaner setups tomorrow.
At least my streak continues for now. I am due for a down day, the question is, how much will I lose? We shall see.
I was NOT selective this morning, I did NOT wait for the setups I know and love, and I was punished for it. I did take a breather and tell myself to wait, and that is when DFT came. Wait for your setups, be selective, and take profits. This mentality has me on a winning streak. Not big winning days, but at least I am being consistent, which makes life a lot less stressful.
I need to knock one out of the park soon.....