3/29/11
Gross: +131
Shares: 10400
Net: ~ +63
March:
Gross: > +200
Net: > -600
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Well, today was one of the better trading days we've had in a while. There were a lot of moves out there, a lot of opportunities.
That being said, I started my morning off short, and I didn't cover my shorts, planning on a weak day. The market bounce messed up my morning.
I focused on my watch lists which include last nights earnings, this morning earnings, recent notable earnings, upgrades / downgrades, and my rebuild Japan list.
My morning was without a doubt sloppy. I strayed from my lists, getting caught up in the action of the office. Today was yet another example of "Reasons vs Hope." Yet another example of letting a down morning produce timid afternoon trading.
I was able to get a few trades with nice setups, but I was way undersized. I made most of my money today via level 2 scalping.
Today should have been a big day. After the morning sell off, we trended higher all day, many stocks had major runs. A day like today needs to be much larger on the positive side to offset a day like yesterday.
Notable trades:
1. Jumped in SDS off the open due to Monday's action. When we began trading lower I began seeking shorts. I did not cover my SDS but instead aimed for a trending day lower. This was not the case today.
2. Lost money trading HOT this morning around the 57 level. There was aggressive buying of refreshing sellers. At the time, the market was trading higher, and I liked the idea itself because MAR got the downgrade, not HOT. The only factor going against the trade was MAR not trading with it, which is something I expected. I expected a bit of a squeeze as well. Target was 50 cents. It looked good, and then became choppy. Absolute slop to trade. It hit my target later, but I was stopped out.
3. OLN. OLN was upgraded this morning. It was on my watch list. It gave morning consolidation. Market began trading higher. I bought the consolidation break. Only 300 shares as I was down in the morning. Controlled by my P&L. It had a reason to work, it had a promising setup, all the charts looked great. I sold 100 at 17 cents, and the rest at 13 cents as it began to dip back down. My entry in the trade was not optimal. I wanted to buy the consolidation itself, instead I had 07s.
I traded OLN again later in the day. Size formed a level at 22 cents. I bought the break, 200 shares as it was later in the day and I didn't want to exceed more morning size because that would be irrational. Sold half at 52 week highs (39 cents), and set a stop for the other half at 29 cents as I went to lunch. This trade could have been managed much, much better with more size.
4. AMATEUR trade of the day: DGX. Again a P&L decision. Go look at a chart of DGX today. Gap up. Volume. Seller near highs at 50 cents. It came across my high/low sorter. I was instantly in. I got 300 shares as I hadn't been watching the stock. Once I began watching it, I knew this was bullish as hell. The level 2 was fantastic. My target was the whole number, 57. I told myself, I'm holding this, I have great prices, this thing isn't getting back down to 50 cents. Buyers were stepping up. Now look at that chart again. You see that little trickle down from 75 to 70? THAT was enough to panic me out. My trade plan was to hold to the high 90s. This is what I'm talking about. You enter a trade and another human takes control of you, despite everything Steenbarger has taught you. Trades like these are gifts.
5. SFLY. Shutterfly had some neat stuff going on today. It came across one of our alert systems. There was a seller at 50.20. At first I went short against the seller. The move was extended, I expected AT LEAST dip back to the whole, giving me a R:R trade. The moving averages were below the whole. This trade worked. Later, the moving averages caught up. Size came in at 10 cents. People began paying the 20 and the price began coiling. The stock was thin I knew it could blast up. I got 100 shares <---- LOL <--- 100 shares because thin stocks scare me. Now, yes, you should be careful with thin stocks, BUT you could tell this had monster potential. Anyway, I bought the 20 so I wouldn't miss the blast higher. I covered in the mid 50s. It went to the 90s. I covered in the 50s for the same reason. I was afraid the price would collapse once it met its first slow down. I was right that the stock can collapse, just wrong about the time.
6. RDC. I came upon RDC on my high low ticker as it broke 43. Another gift setup. Moving average caught up to the consolidation at the whole. Market was grilling. I got 300 shares at 6 cents as soon as I could. It hesitated at first. Eventually it got its move. I sold a third at 27 cents, and two thirds during the flutter down at 20 cents. Another trade that could be better managed with more size. I knew it had potential to go 40-50 cents, but I also knew it was late in the day and the move could exhaust at any time. The flutter that got me out seemed uncharacteristic of its previous waves up earlier in the day. I felt it COULD be the top. Not sure how I feel about my decision in this case. Overall, if I had more size I could have held some for the long haul.
7. AIZ - AIZ came up on a sorter. I really really like the chart. I found it just as it has broke 60 and approached 38.50. I knew there were two avenues for this based on the charts. Either we curve out and find support, OR this remains weak and trades to the next support 50 cents lower. I was completely fine taking this trade, especially with how it had been reacting to the moving averages. I was shorting through the 50 level with my stop above the 10 period on the 5 minute. Obviously, it didn't go, but I'll take the 10:50 ratio.
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That is all I have to discuss as far as setups go.
Again, I did a lot of level 2 trading. The sell off in DG. The size lowering GMCR finally got taken near the end of the day. Size appeared in VHC at the whole as it began to bounce.
Then there were the "the markets moving and I'm flat" trades.
While this journal has not yet prevented me from staying out of silly trades, about 10 seconds after I enter, I remember, oh shit, everyone on EliteTrader is going to laugh at this one. My mindset is shifting, though I am still not correcting my sizing problems.
My trades are decent, some obviously much better than others, but I need to get size in the A+ ones. Getting size in the better trades is something I haven't been able to do since I began. (or rather it is rare).
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Tomorrow:
I will again create a morning watch list. I am going to focus on those stocks alone, unless something else absolutely screams at me. For instance, today I had my watch list, but I strayed from it here and there to dabble in some mediocre crap, but then there were the SCREAMERS like DGX and RDC.
On Tues and Wed and Fri, I get to stay in the office all day.
***Watch List + Screamers***
Would have been a great day if I did not let my morning results effect my trades AFTER the market began to TREND higher.
1. Watch List + Screamers
2. Attack the "NoDoji Apples" when they arrive
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By the way, all my trades will be attached to each post. ok.txt is below