Skewed Polls 2014

[jem]

The PPP had jolly down 3 points a week before the election.


http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Govern...meister-Dems-Should-Not-Try-to-Spin-Sink-Loss
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Jolly beat Alex Sink, the last Democrat who was elected statewide in Florida, even though he was trailing by three points in a Public Policy Polling poll a week before the election and had the GOP establishment throwing their own candidate under the bus in advance of what could be a potential loss. Jolly's win may signal how damaging Obamacare and Obama's brand may be to Democrats in the fall's midterm elections.
President Barack Obama won the district twice, by four points in 2008 and by a point in 2010. Sink also won the district in her failed 2010 gubernatorial campaign, which was also a year in which Democrats were disadvantaged because of the Tea Party wave that historically gave back the House GOP its majority.

 

[Tsing Tao]

They obviously had need of the Jem algo.

 

[jem]

Yes indeed.
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Actually, I am not sure how skewed the polling was. I am not sure of the voter break down in that district in the last 2 elections.

I thought I would start the thread since the polling turned out to be less than accurate.

The finally tally seemed to be.

R - 48.5 - D 56.6 - Libertarian 4.8.

So it was off by 5.5 points.


The R candidate was a considered a very weak republican candidate... in a district won by Obama.

If things stay the same the democrats are going to be crushed.
But, I doubt we will be seeing that in the Polls.

here is more:
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Govern...ecial-Election-Results-GOPs-David-Jolly-Leads

 

[Tsing Tao]

Living in Hillsborough County (next door to Pinellas), I am shocked they would elect a Republican at all. That part of Clearwater/St. Pete is a bastion of minorities and liberal wierdos.

 

[jem]

interesting, I think I know the area now. having lived in bradenton for a few years.

Living in Hillsborough County (next door to Pinellas), I am shocked they would elect a Republican at all. That part of Clearwater/St. Pete is a bastion of minorities and liberal wierdos.

 

[LEAPup]

Living in Hillsborough County (next door to Pinellas), I am shocked they would elect a Republican at all. That part of Clearwater/St. Pete is a bastion of minorities and liberal wierdos.

Thanks for the post. I'll put that area on my "not moving there" map. Also, I guess you're pointing out just how bad this looks for the dems via these results? Very encouraging!