Quote from MrDODGE:
This is not fear mongering but a serious issue. Most of my current positions are long. However, I think the market may be in trouble for these reasons in order.
- I-banks announce we are in a recession
- TMA goes bankrupt (should happen this week)
- ABK & MBI lose their AAA ratings worsening the credit crisis
- CFC investigation causes BAC deal to not go through
- Inflation comes in high and the Fed shouldn't cut but does for fear the credit problem will worsen
- Unemployment for March goes up to 5.2% - 5.4%
- Major funds implode as investors run scared
- Dollar keeps falling while commodities run higher ($1.75 EUR/USD is not out of the question)
- Gasoline hits $4/gal by June
- Food prices increase
- Major companies announce massive job cuts
- Banks afraid to lend to people with good credit standing
- Fed Funds rate cut to a low of 1.50%
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(Unforseen problems at this time... probably more bankruptcies)
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- Democrat, probably Obama, is elected president and raises the capital gains tax rate
Miss anything?