Didn't watch the video but what I saw was a car stopped halfway in the highway and the guy was hanging around there. The analogy there would be your position goes against you in a big way and you just stay in it hoping it turns around. Good way to lose money. The only hope I have is that my profits get bigger. I do use stops, but that's only so I don't need to constantly look at screens. I get frustrated when stops get hit, because it (usually) outlines an error in my analysis but I know there is another move coming.
Simple sell rules to protect against disaster in financial markets
- Thread starter Market_Observer
- Start date
Didn't watch the video but what I saw was a car stopped halfway in the highway and the guy was hanging around there. The analogy there would be your position goes against you in a big way and you just stay in it hoping it turns around. Good way to lose money. The only hope I have is that my profits get bigger. I do use stops, but that's only so I don't need to constantly look at screens. I get frustrated when stops get hit, because it (usually) outlines an error in my analysis but I know there is another move coming.
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MOST likely, no, with all data.
but i like it anyway. WHY??
Because SPY spent about 10[ten years] in a sideWays trend, so 10 years is long enough for me /LOL
YOU dont need stops on ETFs, with single stocks could get killed.Short [polar bears trends]are much different + rare compared to TX longhorn bulls, bull elephants, elephant herds, bull buffaloWs, bull snakes, bull elks.
Also that's nonsense claiming polar bears are decreasing 'cause of climate change.NRA data proves otherwise....................................................................................
I like rules of this kind but I think yours concerning the 50 and the 200 are too relaxed for a trader and too tight for an investor.
Why would an investor look at the 50? Why would a trader look at the 200?
In general I always close if price closes below the 50, then sit back and re-assess.
Why would an investor look at the 50? Why would a trader look at the 200?
In general I always close if price closes below the 50, then sit back and re-assess.
Sell rules alone do not form a complete trading system. One needs to have buy rules, sell rules plus position sizing for meaningful backtesting.
If one were to backtest sell rules alone, it's not going to work.
These rules were written more to protect the newbie investors/traders who tend to follow others without doing a lot of due diligence. I have a personal blog. This post was meant for readers who blindly follow.
A disciplined cut-loss rule approach will save them from a disaster in a bear market.
Well if the sell rule is just an arbitrary stop loss with no positive expectancy then it's also like a sort of coin flip. Only a form of risk control
Yes. A form of risk control against financial disaster. Better than none.
You might want to test my simple swing trading strategy rule, it's produced my biggest wins.
I simply look for uptrending stocks, like F, and scale in at 2day highs, scale out at 2day lows. I usually start with small starter positions of just 100 shares, then either martingale or add incrementally, depending on price action.
And I usually sell gaps up, if they drop premkt, or fail to continue higher, eg I sold KOLD for good profit at 13.1 area.
I simply look for uptrending stocks, like F, and scale in at 2day highs, scale out at 2day lows. I usually start with small starter positions of just 100 shares, then either martingale or add incrementally, depending on price action.
And I usually sell gaps up, if they drop premkt, or fail to continue higher, eg I sold KOLD for good profit at 13.1 area.
Since it doesn't work for 17.5 hours out of every trading day or at all on the weekends, even "better than none" is a dubious claim. If you were short any significant amount of Gateway when it jumped to almost 275x its previous value, or long Zynga before its 40% earnings drop, you'd still be trying to make up those losses. Much worse than that, you'd be kicking yourself twice - both for stopping out at the worst price and for not still being in when it recovered. In a situation that calls for a laser scalpel, stops are a stone axe.
Again: stops are perfectly fine for day-trading stocks and futures. But for investors, particularly in single names, they're worse than useless because they induce a false belief in safety where there isn't any.