Significant decline in stocks as valuations skyrocket, fed warns!!!

Because other than the inflated stock and real estate markets where do you put cash - if you already have a lot in the aforementioned?

Take it out and put in under the mattress ? Buy stocks index with earnings yield of 3%+ rather than -0.1% ? Buy US bonds ? How are you participating in an auction with negative NOMINAL rate ?? Again i'm referring to different european gov bond auctions not the US.

Anyways, some trading tips too, gbp and cad are gonna feel the heat pretty soon ;)
 
Every government does the same. Prints money before receiving same.

And every government, throughout history, that prints beyond a certain level (whatever that is in each instance) fails.

Defense of excessive money printing is ... nonsense. No free lunch, yesterday, today or tomorrow.

Prosperity has to be earned, not printed.
I would just add this explanation. When the government prints and then later appears to borrow by selling a bond, it isn't really borrowing. What it is doing is exchanging one liability, a bond, for another, the money it printed earlier and spent into the economy.
 
I would just add this explanation. When the government prints and then later appears to borrow by selling a bond, it isn't really borrowing. What it is doing is exchanging one liability, a bond, for another, the money it printed earlier and spent into the economy.
"When the government prints and then later appears to borrow ...." No appears to, it already has.

Listen if we (The Fed/Treasury) were just a little bit ahead of tax revenues when printing (wink, wink not borrowing) like mad no problemo.

And please no debt ummm I mean deficit/gdp ratios showing how all is good in the world, when the real numbers that matter are so far out into the future our grandkids grandkids, yet to be born, have very little probability of getting things back to a "manageable" level.

Without a global reset ;) - the Lottery ticket many nations just might agree on.
 
"When the government prints and then later appears to borrow ...." No appears to, it already has.

Piezoe is actually right. Money that you "borrow" from YOURSELF isn't really borrowing by its traditional definition. Think about it. When you are the Lender and the Borrower at the same time, to whom you have obligations to ? To yourself. And wouldn't you, as a LENDER, make ALWAYS beneficial arrangements for the borrower (yourself) so that you'd never default ? Especially, when the money that you lent out has a working hour price of zero. Noone ever had to work for that money. It has no "energy" so to speak.

The brilliance of the system is that the REAL money accepts this. Now, i'd understand that this acceptance goes on for some time but i'm very curious to see how far can this thing go :)

It's all about the ratio of real vs printed purchase of debt. As the printed version approaches to 100% the closer we are at the end of currency. But, again, there's so much that can be done to prevent this. And, as a very big player (the CB's) already in the financial markets the whole game is within their hands anyway. I'm mean, really, they can start tapering or raise rates in 5 minutes if they wanted to. They literally have all the information. What's an excess inflation ? It's speculation. And that's never tolerated. So measures against it is easy to take.
 
Piezoe is actually right. Money that you "borrow" from YOURSELF isn't really borrowing by its traditional definition. Think about it. When you are the Lender and the Borrower at the same time, to whom you have obligations to ? To .
Try doing the same.

Oh that's right, the government is not the same.

Difference being they are the ones with the guns.
 
Try doing the same.

i can’t. I’m not allowed. But it wouldn’t make any sense for private individuals to do the same. We, as individuals, don’t have that certain discipline. We would cheat the system from day one at max pace.

Difference being they are the ones with the guns.

is physical power the eventual dominant? Absolutely, everywhere, everytime.

if i’m stronger than you, then i make the rules for you. The price of life is always the highest. It’s that simple.
 
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i can’t. I’m not allowed. But it wouldn’t make any sense for private individuals to do the same. We, as individuals, don’t have that certain discipline. We would cheat the system from day one at max pace.
...
You most certainly can and some communities in this country already have.

But get someone to take your newly created money is the issue.

You, and me, don't have enough guns to get others to take our "money".

As for cheating the system, don't be naive.
 
Try doing the same.

Oh that's right, the government is not the same.

Difference being they are the ones with the guns.
The difference is the Government is the source of all our money. Our labor, productivity, trust, and taxes is what gives our money value.

There are two kinds of money. One kind is the money the government obtains by taxing or creating it out of thin air and spends into the economy to, among other things, obtain the goods and services it needs to fulfill its mission. We call that "outside money". The other kind of money is money temporarily created by fractional reserve banking. We call that kind, "inside money" or "money created when a bank makes a loan." The latter kind of money is the main determiner of the "money supply", and the former supplies, among other things, the "seed money" for the latter.

I have been posting about outside money. When we produce additional outside money which we move into the private sector by spending it in, we print it. We don't borrow it. That outside money is owed to no one, because it is printed. It is not borrowed. Later our Treasury issues securities in the same amount as the outside money that was previously printed. They auction these securities to Authorized Primary Dealers in the Private sector who in turn sell these securities to private sector buyers using what is called "the secondary market."

When our Central Bank wants to buy or sell Treasury Bonds it does so on the secondary market so that the effect of these transactions will register in private sector reserve accounts rather than in the Government's Treasury reserve accounts. Therefore, when our Central Bank buys bonds it causes an increase in aggregate, private sector reserve accounts; when it sells bonds it drains private sector reserve accounts. This is always "outside money" involved in these transactions. Of course money is fungible and an "inside dollar" can't be distinguished from an "outside dollar" in any way other than by the transaction itself. Any transaction which moves money between the private sector and the government involves, by definition, outside money, and any transaction between private sector parties involves "inside" money.

When the Treasury auctions bonds to private sector, primary dealers it is not borrowing, even though that's what we call it. It is, in reality, just exchanging an interest bearing i.o.u. for outside money previously created and spent into the private sector.*

The aggregate deficit represents the total amount of money we have created to supply our economy with the money it needs for seed money and to function. As long as the economy and population grow we will need to increase the aggregate deficit if we want to maintain a constant purchasing power for our currency. If we create a bigger deficit than that we will experience inflation. If we produce a smaller aggregate deficit than that, we will experience deflation. We will never pay off the deficit but it could shrink rather than grow if the economy starts shrinking.

All of the above is what happens in theory. In practice human psychology plays a major role, especially in the short run. In particular, if our politicians do not correctly understand these basic principles behind sovereign fiat money, they might do very stupid things such as placing an arbitrary limit on deficits or referring to the aggregate deficit as "debt", etc. They might also do these things intentionally if they want to mislead the Public for nefarious purposes. Most people naturally equate government finances with their personal finances, so they are sitting ducks, so to speak, for unscrupulous politicians.

_________________

*Treasury Bonds have a critical role to play as a tool of Central Bank monetary policy and as an interest paying store of money. They serve to temporarily sidetrack money that could otherwise be circulating in the private sector economy. But they do not represent Treasury borrowing!
 
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The difference is the Government is the source of all our money. Our labor, productivity, trust, and taxes is what gives our money value.

There are two kinds of money. One kind is the money the government obtains by taxing or creating it out of thin air and spends into the economy to, among other things, obtain the goods and services it needs to fulfill its mission. We call that "outside money". The other kind of money is money temporarily created by fractional reserve banking. We call that kind, "inside money" or "money created when a bank makes a loan." The latter kind of money is the main determiner of the "money supply", and the former supplies, among other things, the "seed money" for the latter.

I have been posting about outside money. When we produce additional outside money which we move into the private sector by spending it in, we print it. We don't borrow it. That outside money is owed to no one, because it is printed. It is not borrowed. Later our Treasury issues securities in the same amount as the outside money that was previously printed. They auction these securities to Authorized Primary Dealers in the Private sector who in turn sell these securities to private sector buyers using what is called "the secondary market."

When our Central Bank wants to buy or sell Treasury Bonds it does so on the secondary market so that the effect of these transactions will register in private sector reserve accounts rather than in the Government's Treasury reserve accounts. Therefore, when our Central Bank buys bonds it causes an increase in aggregate, private sector reserve accounts; when it sells bonds it drains private sector reserve accounts. This is always "outside money" involved in these transactions. Of course money is fungible and an "inside dollar" can't be distinguished from an "outside dollar" in any way other than by the transaction itself. Any transaction which moves money between the private sector and the government involves, by definition, outside money, and any transaction between private sector parties involves "inside" money.

When the Treasury auctions bonds to private sector, primary dealers it is not borrowing, even though that's what we call it. It is, in reality, just exchanging an interest bearing i.o.u. for outside money previously created and spent into the private sector.*

The aggregate deficit represents the total amount of money we have created to supply our economy with the money it needs for seed money and to function. As long as the economy and population grow we will need to increase the aggregate deficit if we want to maintain a constant purchasing power for our currency. If we create a bigger deficit than that we will experience inflation. If we produce a smaller aggregate deficit than that, we will experience deflation. We will never pay off the deficit but it could shrink rather than grow if the economy starts shrinking.

All of the above is what happens in theory. In practice human psychology plays a major role, especially in the short run. In particular, if our politicians do not correctly understand these basic principles behind sovereign fiat money, they might do very stupid things such as placing an arbitrary limit on deficits or referring to the aggregate deficit as "debt", etc. They might also do these things intentionally if they want to mislead the Public for nefarious purposes. Most people naturally equate government finances with their personal finances, so they are sitting ducks, so to speak, for unscrupulous politicians.

_________________

*Treasury Bonds have a critical role to play as a tool of Central Bank monetary policy and as an interest paying store of money. They serve to temporarily sidetrack money that could otherwise be circulating in the private sector economy. But they do not represent Treasury borrowing!


It's so well written, that it should be a front page sticker on ET. (Y)
 
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