Shouldn’t Mitt Romney be ahead by now?

Sarah Palin did a great job according to Alaskans but she wasn't ready for the ongoing axe murders that our leftist press/attorneys commit.. The press is going to have a hard time making this VP look bad, the guy is at 6% body fat and he can debate.. compare that to that aging ape we have now for a VP..

This Obama marxist garbage has gotta go.. I can't believe all the Union leaders are down with the Democrats as far left as they have gone, their forebears would roll in their graves if they knew they were hanging in with the commies...
 
Quote from Maverick74:

What is the bet? I already bet the Captain and Ron. I don't remember your bet. Let's do it. What are the details again?
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Quote from AK Forty Seven:



One month no posting bet offer to see if you really believe the bull shit you post.Romney wont be ahead of Obama on Intrade or RCP average for 2 weeks/14 total days like McCain did
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Sunday rasmussen poll puts Romney ahead of Obama.... hee hee, normally the incumbent is a shoe in for a second term but we just had the second term... it was Jimmy Carter's though!! Maybe Obama can retire and try to write more books about how he was a great POTUS than Jimmy Carter did.. LOL
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

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Wait huh? I thought we were betting on the election? You want me to bet on a derivative of the election?

Let's bet on the election. I already have two live outstanding bets.
 
Quote from Eight:

Sunday rasmussen poll puts Romney ahead of Obama.... hee hee, normally the incumbent is a shoe in for a second term but we just had the second term... it was Jimmy Carter's though!! Maybe Obama can retire and try to write more books about how he was a great POTUS than Jimmy Carter did.. LOL
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Quote from Maverick74:

Wait huh? I thought we were betting on the election? You want me to bet on a derivative of the election?

Let's bet on the election. I already have two live outstanding bets.
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I offered a bet in response to your statement that McCain was in the lead for 2 weeks

I already have a one month no posting bet with Max on the election .If Romney wins I dont post for 2 months,that would cover a month for you and a month for max

If Obama wins you dont post on ET for a month
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

I offered a bet in response to your statement that McCain was in the lead for 2 weeks

I already have a one month no posting bet with Max on the election .If Romney wins I dont post for 2 months,that would cover a month for you and a month for max

If Obama wins you dont post on ET for a month
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Yes, McCain got that bump on the convention. Do you want to bet on a post election bounce for Romney. I'm sure Romney will get a moderate 4 to 6 pt bump on the republican convention.

McCain had that lead until Palin started magazine gate. And it was all downhill from there.
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

I offered a bet in response to your statement that McCain was in the lead for 2 weeks

I already have a one month no posting bet with Max on the election .If Romney wins I dont post for 2 months,that would cover a month for you and a month for max

If Obama wins you dont post on ET for a month
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But then I can't rub it in your face if Obama losses. That takes all the fun away. Maybe I get the option to pick any month within 6 months after the election. Letting you squirm away for two months hiding would not be any fun.
 
Quote from Eight:

Sunday rasmussen poll puts Romney ahead of Obama.... hee hee, normally the incumbent is a shoe in for a second term but we just had the second term... it was Jimmy Carter's though!! Maybe Obama can retire and try to write more books about how he was a great POTUS than Jimmy Carter did.. LOL
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1.Rasmussen often had Mccain ahead of Obama as well







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2.Obama is doing better then previous incumbents.Usually the challenger is in the lead in the summer



http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/07/22/do-presidential-polls-break-toward-challengers/



"The other anomaly has been in the summer months — June, July and August. In these months, the polls have tended to low ball the position of the incumbent party’s candidate. In July polls, for instance, the incumbent-party candidate has trailed by an average of 4 points in elections since 1968. However, the incumbent-party candidate has actually won these elections by an average of a little more than 3 points. In other words, there has been a seven-point swing on average toward the incumbent party’s candidate from the July polls until November."
 
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