ShortHipsters Journal

I think P:L is much more important than a simple % win figure.

Are you based in Australia ?

Yeah I agree, although I still think the best measure is a volatility of account including unrealised profits/loss.

Yes, I'm based in Australia. Makes for some late nights sometimes....
 
______________________

Start of week = $105,000
End of week = $115,400

Weekly P&L = +$10,400
YTD P&L = +$105,400
______________________

It was a good week for trading and I ended it with a very decent profit. However its was also about lost opportunities where I could easily made triple this profit.

Notable Trades:
  • EUR/USD = +$3,806 (4 trades)
  • NFLX = -$2,771 (1 trade)
  • S&P500 = +$7,187 (1 trade... still holding 75%)
  • Fortescue Metals = +$1,725 (existing trade... still holding)
  • Whitehaven Coal = +$1,450 (existing trade... still holding)
Note that some trades were/are unrealised so doesn't equate exactly to weekly P&L. The weekly P&L is the movement +/- of my account for the week.

My biggest trades were a short going into the week on EUR/USD and covering/switching into a long. Didn't maximise this long but still it was good trading. I shorted the market at the very end of Wednesday's session, S&P500 short @2,080 (currently trading 2,020) which meant Thursday was a great day for me!! It really looked like we were broadly going to move lower, obviously I didn't know that it would happen on next session (so good timing). My view is we will move quite dramatically lower over the next month or so. I've covered only 25% of my short so only $2k of the $7k profit on the trade is realised. Will trail this going forward.

Big misses this week. Was short on 1,000 share of NFLX @$123.50. Got squeezed out on the last day before we dropped hard. I took a loss of $2.7k instead of a profit of $15k. This really hurt. I don't mind getting out but I should have taken it back when it didn't move higher. Very significant trade missed here. Another big miss on TSLA short 300 shares @$260. I covered for a flat and had no reason to get out. This was really disappointing because next session would have meant +$8k. So between these two trades alone I missed out on $20k+. I take comfort from the fact that my entry was right, just my exit was wrong. I'll be sticking closer to a stop loss rather than defensively getting out early. Probably just reduce size and only exit on market getting to stop loss.

So there you go... my first week posting and it was in the black. Looking forward to some good volatility in the market for the next few weeks!!

Good luck trading!
 
_________________________

Start of week = $105,000
End of week = $120,380

Weekly P&L = +$15,380
YTD P&L = +$110,380
_________________________

As I'm on Australian time so my week had finished but I've now added in the U.S. Friday session.

After the close of US session my market short trade has increased to +$13,250

WED Shorted 100 @2,080
THUR Covered 25 @2,023
FRI Covered 25 @1,974

I've attached a chart showing this trade. You can see each of my covers and also my stop loss at 2,130.

Now I pretty much have a risk free trade left on my remaining 50 which I'll now trail for a few weeks. I may also add 50 on a bounce back.

Now it's turned into a very good week!! Looking forward to next ...
 

Attachments

  • image.jpg
    image.jpg
    139.3 KB · Views: 182
________________________
This is for the past 2 weeks;

Start = $120,380
End = $132,530

Fortnightly P&L = +$12,150
YTD P&L = +$122,150

_________________________

Well it's been a very eventful two weeks for my trading. Biggest trades (including by biggest loss to date) is listed below in order they took place;

ES +$2,829
ASX200 (-$25,496)
ES (-$3,853)
ES (-$2,791)
Oil +$10,592
ES +$12,735
EUR/USD +$3,508
ES +$2,020
NFLX +$8,623
TSLA +$4,474

So this last fortnight began with a bad mistake compounded by another bad mistake which lead to my worst loss on single trade this year. I took a short on the bounce on the Australian index after the collapse in US. The swing from bottom to top was circa 9%. I put on a trade made the mistake of not sizing it correctly given the movement and was quickly down $10k. I compounded this by holding the position and letting it move to a $25k loss before banging out. This whole trade really disappointed me both for my initial mistake and then compounding it by holding. Not proud of it and took a big drawn down as a result. After that I sat back and thought it over for few hours to clear my head. Coincidently, to rub salt in the wounds, it didn't move more that another 1k further against me and it then swung from -26k to what would have been a 20k profit.... that hurt.

I was still convinced this market was a dead cat bounce and was keen to short the ES when it was coming up. Took a few losses on both of the trades after being positive a few $k on each. Was trading badly. Took a breather.

So at this point I was having a terrible week. Then I noticed that Oil was catching a bid and loaded up. Within a few hours it was up 10% and I was out for a $12k profit. Could have trailed it longer for the additional 5% but this trade got me back on track. This was a great trade which restored mojo.

After failing to break though 2,000 on ES I was really convinced that this market was going back down to test the recent lows. So I load up short on ES @1,985. I also shorted NFLX @$118 and shorted TSLA @$250 combined with a long on EUR/USD 1.1185. I had decent outs and was risking about $5k in total. In retrospect it was perfect timing as the market started crashing overnight, I progressively closed out my ES trade before US open for +$13k and the EUR/USD trade for +$3.5k. I then trailed the NFLX and TSLA positions for another day. Closed these out end of Thursday's US equity close for a NFLX +$8.6k and TSLA +$4.5k. So this overall short on the market netted me circa +$29k.

While the start of this past 2 weeks was terrible I turned it around and capped it off with a killer short. Losses are part of the game and I really aim to not repeat the mistakes of that trade. This would have been an amazing trading profit without having taken that drawdown but then maybe it was a lesson I needed to have. Happy to have moved forward by $12k. Trading well and looking forward to more of this volatility. My thought is that things will be very interesting on Monday after Chinese holiday. I'll likely be taking a short on ES going into the weekend.

Good luck trading to you all...
 
Back
Top