short naked puts at 5 on subprimes (NFI NEW)

S

scriabinop23

Any thoughts guys?

Premium is great.... Looking at May/Jun 5 strikes for both... Risk/reward doesn't look too bad considering the IVs.


Any thoughts here on internals and downside possibilities on these from people who know the balance sheets and risk profiles from hereon out?
 
When a stock drops like NEW did and they list the 2.50 strike, I would guess almost every time the stock eventually trades below the strike and many times goes below 1.00..I think Enron was the first stock the 2.50's were listed for..it seems when a stock is facing a decent probability of bankruptcy, then traditional option models aren't so good anymore..It is now kind of a binary event..BK or not..stock goes to zero or X.
 
I had the exact same thought. In my IRA account a few days ago I tried to do this synthetically with a covered call write with the April $5. I put it in as a combo order and didn't get a fill. I refused to budge on my price and moved on without looking at it any further.

I did look closely at the Balance Sheet and felt comfortable with the company's ability to continue. However, in one of the inevitable stockholder law suits that follow this type of situation, here was mention that the Trustees were going to recommend that the shareholders revoke the REIT election. This spooked me a little bit, but not enough to sway me from trying to make the trade.

It's interesting that others had similar thoughts.

Bob
 
Quote from scriabinop23:

no. whats refco's symbol?
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You mean you don't know what happened to Refco!?:confused:

Search the news before jumping in on this one.
 
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