Short CAT

hajimow said:
I believe CAT hit a ceiling and all reasons for a bight future for this stock is gone. New constructions? with which money? Tax cut? which one? Country is busy talking about Alt_right and Alt_Delete. I am shorting CAT. Not recommending it for faint of hearts.
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Hmmm. It will probably see $112. Pretty boring stock at this point. Weak dollar is going to help it. But I agree... it should pull back some.
 
vanzandt said:
Hmmm. It will probably see $112. Pretty boring stock at this point. Weak dollar is going to help it. But I agree... it should pull back some.
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It looks boring and at some point, it might seem it is a strong stock when many stocks drop a lot but suddenly one day it drops $10 and more. The trick is not to get excited and use all your gun powders at one time. I am selling weekly 115 calls and also shorting and also selling biweekly puts for way down on my shorts to juice up the profit or reduce the damage.
 
I am a bit worried about this stock. Their profit margin is only 8% while their debt to equity ratio is over 2 although current ratio is greater than 1 which indicate they have enough cash to cover the short term debts.

Having said that, I think they are doing well in terms of acquiring companies, utilsing their surplus cash on new investment to bring the stock price up again. Overall, CAT will be ok

May resume uptrend once it finishes pullback
 
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I am looking at director's compensation and they are required to own their common stocks. Thus, they are also shareholders too. Having said that, they also have pensions program which is debt-like compensation for directors. Overall, they seem to have good management team. imho, in the long term, this stock will continue to grow and not very overvalued.
 
This reminded me of what I did 3 decades ago.

I used to do kamikazae trading thinking price shouldn't be that high and it should be time for price to go down.

I am never good at shorting such stocks.
 
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If you had read CAT's last 2 quarterly reports, you would religiously short CAT and would not listen to those bullshits that CAT had great results. The fact is that after have 10X shitty results for many quarters, this one was 7X shitty. It depends how you see the glass. Hyundai is eating their market is small and medium equipment.
 
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