The biggest edge you can get in this market is remembering that the underlying (so not the future itself, but what it tracks) is driven by 90% retail customer trading, this is above the Chinese historical average of 80% - which itself is very high for market standards.
This isn’t semi-pro retail traders either, most (I don’t have any percentage though) would be first timers looking to make money fast. Some will bail on losing “chased” trades in fear (we have seen that already) and others will stay in until the broker force liquidates.
I wouldn’t trust technical analysis (I actually never do myself – but that’s off topic) and as for fundamentals, if the PBOC can’t ignite a rally, nobody can.
Fun to watch, but beware, there is no real options market in China so even the other 10-20% of non-retail traders cant hedge – although one could hedge using A50 US/EU-listed ETF options when those markets are trading.
In essence, the edge might be behavioral. Now if only the SGX would get those FOPs listed for this contract!