Seriously, is VIX broken or some crazy stuff?!

Sekiyo said:
If we compare the VIX (Fat Black Line) with the Daily Range (Histogram) then it looks fine.
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SURE look$ like a fine+ accurate chart ;
especially if one like to make money off spikes or ice picks moves.
Of course when something spikes so much, sometimes like an ice pick/\ easy to get stuck in the real world. Or if even off just a bit ,easy to get stuck or impaled. Thanks for the chart; futures dont really predict the future. In some other cases they can lock in a price.
THERE must be half the town\
ain't it funny how how a broken home\ can bring the prices down-Yard Sale Song -Sammy Kershaw Song>5,777,888 video views
 
Here is what I have noticed. Narrow range daily bars compared to the prior daily bar often signal a reversal. I've cherry-picked a few examples, chart has plenty of others - some upside. But like I said they often work but of course never 100% of the time.

Also any comparison between $VIX and say ES has to looked at on a percentage move basis. So 1-2% in both is kinda right what they should be. Meanwhile the 1-2% move would obviously look more dramatic on the higher priced ES.
!VIX.png
 
destriero said:
No. OMG, no.
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I've given it some more thought since your post, and I am more and more of the mind that the fact that nearly 50% of the SPX flow trading now is expiring in less than 24 hours rather than 1-2 months out is exactly why the VIX hasn't been going up to the extent many would have expected.

I'd like to hear your explanation, however, as I am always willing to be proven wrong, and I make no claim to be an expert on this subject.
 
VIX moves slowly in channels til an explosive move, then quiet.

I profitably traded VXX during original flash crash. I bought TVIX 54 sold 940.

VIX will spike >50 again soon. I bought >1k UVXY for weekend hold.

VIX is the most valuable indicator.... but trading VIX etns/etfs is very hard.
 
SoyUnGanador said:
Market is rocketing to the downside like I called it, but VIX is actually DOWN today? Its at 27 despite the market being down so bigly over last few months and days. Feels like it should be at like 40 by now at least.

What gives? Is that an indication the market thinks there is not much downside left? Or if there something else more complicated going on!?!?!
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Dude takes credit for a call in which he lost money. Elite.
 
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