In a previous post I "forecast" that a "big" bank was about to fail. I based that "forecast" on the fact that a bank or banks had dramatically increased their use of the secondary window at the Federal Reserve. I note that activity did NOT decrease after the demise of Colonial or Guaranty...
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h3/current/h3.htm
This is NOT a good sign. Yes, I am aware of the FDIC's latest report of 400 plus banks on the ropes, but this is something more...even at the "height" of the recession/depression aka "late last year" there was NOT this sort of activity at the secondary window. If the "credit crisis" is over, then why is this happening now? Hmmm, could it be that prime, subprime, option-ARM and commercial/industrial have actually gotten worse - rhetorical
Green shoots????? If this is green shoots...it is "poison ivy" popping out of the ground!
-gastropod
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h3/current/h3.htm
This is NOT a good sign. Yes, I am aware of the FDIC's latest report of 400 plus banks on the ropes, but this is something more...even at the "height" of the recession/depression aka "late last year" there was NOT this sort of activity at the secondary window. If the "credit crisis" is over, then why is this happening now? Hmmm, could it be that prime, subprime, option-ARM and commercial/industrial have actually gotten worse - rhetorical

Green shoots????? If this is green shoots...it is "poison ivy" popping out of the ground!
-gastropod