Sergio's Trading Strategies & Market Predictions

For example on RUT, I like the 8/25 1845/1925 on the call side + 8/31 1850/1840 on the put side.
Or if you don't like that then you can just use the inverse ETFs.


A legit question. I am not trolling. I am trying to understand what you're contemplating here.
 
Let's make the Call side 8/25 - 1845/1940 and Put side 8/31 - 1850/1860.

Look at that. It's beautiful. Nails it right at 1843.
RUT spread.PNG
 
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LOL= good guess.:D:D
Cant really predict markets;
if anyone could predict markets, could keep adding on , adding on in oil contracts or add anything, keep adding on + get rich quick.
Reality check\ even the best trends correct, not a prediction , its a common sense fact.
Good guess :caution:

Bro, If you could predict with 100% certainty then where is the fun in that?

I am going to take a shot on a new trade... Going long gold miners!
 
Bro, If you could predict with 100% certainty then where is the fun in that?

I am going to take a shot on a new trade... Going long gold miners!
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Interesting business; those gold miners sometimes also make a fortune off copper ore +other treasures they dig up :caution::caution:
 
Let's make the Call side 8/25 - 1845/1940 and Put side 8/31 - 1850/1860.

Look at that. It's beautiful. Nails it right at 1843.
View attachment 320645

I see, you're trading a bear reversal in verts. Yours has 12 handles in ddrift to 913 and you can buy the bear vert a quarter cheaper by going with the 8/25. You're not going to gain anything downside by going out a week.

I like this better for the same term.

upload_2023-8-11_13-59-25.png
 
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LOL= good guess.:D:D
Cant really predict markets;
if anyone could predict markets, could keep adding on , adding on in oil contracts or add anything, keep adding on + get rich quick.
Reality check\ even the best trends correct, not a prediction , its a common sense fact.
Good guess :caution:

Use the data to make predictions. The data is showing me that gold miners, healthcare, utilities, and biotechs are coming up next.
 
Its due, but it's a commodity. It has a very messy distribution. It doesn't work like a stock market sector.
Can you give a description on what is not messy.
I would think gold miners were commodity based and messy? No?
 
Can you give a description on what is not messy.
I would think gold miners were commodity based and messy? No?

Gold miners are just stocks which mine and stream. They need some love.

EEM looks priced to perfection with room for more upside. YTD kurtosis is sitting at 3.
NASDAQ, ARKK, and Homebuilders are overdone for this year.

etf distributions.PNG
 
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