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Selling ZN June 116 straddle
- Thread starter riskarb
- Start date
Quote from riskarb:
at 2'36. Sold some size it it today -- looking for a trade under 116 and a contraction in the stat-volty curve. Trading 2'20 within a week.
riskarb
Couple of questions:
1. What are the current volatility figures you're seeing? What caught your attention?
2. What kind of contraction are you expecting?
3. I've never traded straddles, do you prefer short or long or do you let the greeks dictate the strategy?
4. If prices drop, doesn't IV generally rise? If so, would this not hurt your position?
I'm certainly not questioning your trade, just trying to learn from someone in the know.
Good luck.
Quote from CrimsonTyde:
Couple of questions:
1. What are the current volatility figures you're seeing? What caught your attention?
2. What kind of contraction are you expecting?
3. I've never traded straddles, do you prefer short or long or do you let the greeks dictate the strategy?
4. If prices drop, doesn't IV generally rise? If so, would this not hurt your position?
I'm certainly not questioning your trade, just trying to learn from someone in the know.
Good luck.
1) I'm predicting a 100basis drop in implieds over the next 3 weeks -- trading Jun straddles for the smaller gamma.
2) I can't add anything to this concept w/o revealing proprietary info. Sorry if it sounds flaky, but it is what it is.
3) Straddles have an excellent r/r, but a poor margin of error, until edge develops thru theta gains. I don't trade (-)expectations, so I rarely(read never) initiate long straddle positions.
4) Not necessarily; and I am not looking for a dramatic fall, on the contrary, I am looking for a contraction in stat volty and by extension, implied volty. Again, I cannot elaborate beyond the aforementioned.
I'm looking for 20ticks before the M.O.A.N. (Emp. report) and another 20 on the release of the number. I believe we'll trade in a fairly tight range; i.e., one handle on the futures up/down, barring any major exogenous events over the next 21 days.
riskarb
Quote from riskarb:
1) I'm predicting a 100basis drop in implieds over the next 3 weeks -- trading Jun straddles for the smaller gamma.
2) I can't add anything to this concept w/o revealing proprietary info. Sorry if it sounds flaky, but it is what it is.
3) Straddles have an excellent r/r, but a poor margin of error, until edge develops thru theta gains. I don't trade (-)expectations, so I rarely(read never) initiate long straddle positions.
4) Not necessarily; and I am not looking for a dramatic fall, on the contrary, I am looking for a contraction in stat volty and by extension, implied volty. Again, I cannot elaborate beyond the aforementioned.
I'm looking for 20ticks before the M.O.A.N. (Emp. report) and another 20 on the release of the number. I believe we'll trade in a fairly tight range; i.e., one handle on the futures up/down, barring any major exogenous events over the next 21 days.
riskarb
Thanks for clarifying. I hope everything works out. Good luck.