Selling Premium on ES

I always go to my thread after reading Desty's and if I'm being generous, I think I understand maybe 1/2 of what they are talking about in there. There are truly levels to this and I'm on the bottom floor, possibly basement. Nevertheless, at least I got 4 walls and some windows and I am proof that this game is more about risk management than smarts.

Both my short options expired otm, but the expected bounce from the 50 dma fizzled, possibly due to everybody and their mothers looking for it. On the plus side, worked my b/e down to 4450 after selling the 4500 put and 4295 put expiring next Friday. Also don't tell anybody but my positions weren't moving for hours before I realized that 9:30 AM was opex and hurriedly "rolled" my positions. This is what happens when you go on a 3 week vacation and forget what month it is.

Thesis remains the same that this is a baby correction. Let's see what happens next week.
 
tnatrader said:
I always go to my thread after reading Desty's and if I'm being generous, I think I understand maybe 1/2 of what they are talking about in there. There are truly levels to this and I'm on the bottom floor, possibly basement. Nevertheless, at least I got 4 walls and some windows and I am proof that this game is more about risk management than smarts.

Both my short options expired otm, but the expected bounce from the 50 dma fizzled, possibly due to everybody and their mothers looking for it. On the plus side, worked my b/e down to 4450 after selling the 4500 put and 4295 put expiring next Friday. Also don't tell anybody but my positions weren't moving for hours before I realized that 9:30 AM was opex and hurriedly "rolled" my positions. This is what happens when you go on a 3 week vacation and forget what month it is.

Thesis remains the same that this is a baby correction. Let's see what happens next week.
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Did you make any adjustment with the 4295 put?
 
caroy said:
Did you make any adjustment with the 4295 put?
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No, since my thesis is that this is a shallow 5-10% correction, I don't mind getting assigned. With the assignment, my notional exposure would be about 75% of my entire portfolio so I still have plenty of room to add.

Most likely path from here is to retest the gap, then a double bottom and we grind higher into year end. This is assuming Evergrande isn't a Lehman moment (shouldn't be as most of their debt is RMB denominated, not USD) and the debt ceiling in US is raised without too much drama. If any of those risks manifest into reality, we may be looking at a 15-20% correction, but even then, I'm ok with these prices. There's nothing to suggest a protracted bear market.
 
traider said:
Do you know how much you can make roughly on total capital by selling puts? 10%? What is the sharpe ratio?
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About 10-20% a year with less vol than a 60/40 portfolio. I started this account on May 14 this year and am up 5.8% through yesterday. According to IB, my sharpe is 3.75 but is a useless stat seeing how short the time period is. The ROI isn't exciting, but it's scalable and simple to execute for me since I have a day job.
 
A sliver away from all time highs. Sold the 4450 calls expiring Monday as my short 4500 put got assigned as expected. Not much, but will book a gain of $1900 for this month if we close above 4450 on Monday. Got less than a week left for this month, let's see if we can clear 3k for Sep.
 
Yesterday the 4450 calls expired and I sold 4425 calls and 4150 puts expiring next Friday making it a covered strangle for a total of 27.25. New breakeven is 4400. Looks like I will take a ~2500 loss for September if ES closes around 4350. Not bad at all considering the volatility and only about 50 ES points away from ATH.
 
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