Quote from slacker:
The decision matrix of buying a âblack boxâ system looks much the same for Pascalâs Wager:
If BlackBoxSystem vendor can deliver = unlimited wealth with fantastic change in life style
If BlackBoxSystem vendor can deliver and you do not bet = misery (missed chance of a lifetime)
If BlackBoxSystem vendor cannot deliver = status quo ($5000 loss, no change in life style, regret but less than the misery of missing the chance of a lifetime)
If BlackBoxSystem vendor cannot deliver and you do not bet = status quo (no change in life style, no satisfaction, regret the plan did not work)
The key to vendor success seems to be to make the most outlandish claims of success in proportion to the cost of the system. In a population of sufficient size there will be people waiting to pay to see if you can deliver. Same as in Lotto ticket sales; the odds decrease as the size of the pot increases driving sales of tickets higher.
Always the BlackBoxSystem vendor cannot provide actual trading results. The most common explanation is, âWell I trade a lot of different positions in my account and I do not want to disclose everything I trade.â Someone selling a $3000 system cannot set up a separate account to trade and verify their trading results? Even Interactive Brokers has a âFriends and Familyâ input option that allows you to trade combinations of accounts with just a mouseclick. If anyone wanted to provide a history of real trades it would cost nothing and be set up with very little effort.
Donât expect a rush to provide results to any commercial system. It is not going to happen. Yes, all âsystemsâ are scams IMHO. Some systems may have worked in the past, but by the time they are sold they are in the âcash cowâ category. Once available for sale they have no more trading value and the only value left is to sell it on the web.
Good luck!