Selling China in 2008 is like selling America in 1908...

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Port1385

We all know that Jim Rogers has been right so many times. So is it time to get back into the FXI?

China Communications Construction
China Construction Bank
China Life Insurance
China Mobile Ltd.
China Petroleum & Chemical
China Shenhua Energy
China Telecom
CNOOC, Ltd.
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China
PetroChina
 
Investing in China, IMO, carries huge political and war risks going forward. The better comparison would be putting money into Tsarist Russia in 1908.
 
do not invest in china, because there maybe a major shitstorm coming.

do not short china, as the entire market is controlled by the government, and it still has a tons of cash reserve that can be used to plug the hole and possible avoid this world financial storm.

so in summary, i would not play china right now. It is too uncertain.
 
Quote from newguy05:

do not invest in china, because there maybe a major shitstorm coming.

do not short china, as the entire market is controlled by the government, and it still has a tons of cash reserve that can be used to plug the hole and possible avoid this world financial storm.

so in summary, i would not play china right now. It is too uncertain.
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This would be my stance as well, fwiw
 
Quote from clacy:

This would be my stance as well, fwiw
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Protectionism makes or breaks China.

Oil makes or breaks Russia.

Dollar printing makes gold.

US central bank sales break gold.

etc. etc.

Flip a coin.
 
The prices of the FXI (and its individual components listed above) are down, but they just took a dive back to 2006/2007 pricing. They are not off the map much like the SPY or its major components. Some of the SPY's components are in uncharted territory, 90s pricing.


The reason why I bring this up is because Jim Rogers has been eerily right this past few years. Rogers is making this statement while living in China. He has some first hand knowledge of what is going on over there.
 
Hi, I am a US citizen living in China. I have heard that the export related part of the economy is down, but from what I see first hand things are ok. There is no way I would buy US stocks but have no problem buying Chinese ones.
 
Quote from Port1385:

We all know that Jim Rogers has been right so many times. So is it time to get back into the FXI?

China Communications Construction
China Construction Bank
China Life Insurance
China Mobile Ltd.
China Petroleum & Chemical
China Shenhua Energy
China Telecom
CNOOC, Ltd.
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China
PetroChina
More...

What's the point. It's well known that the price action on the Shanghai stock market is well manipulated. HELLO!!! It's a Communist country!
 
Quote from svrart:

Hi, I am a US citizen living in China. I have heard that the export related part of the economy is down, but from what I see first hand things are ok. There is no way I would buy US stocks but have no problem buying Chinese ones.
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I sell electronic parts to thousands of electronic firms in China. My 2008 Q4 revenue was down 30% again Q3. And 2009 Q1 orderbook is <50% of 2008 Q4 level.

The situation is extremely serious in my industry.
 
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