Howdi stonedinvestors The market will hit a new high on Friday, Oct 12. Being the all too scary October period and being that we really haven't truly felt the pain of this mortgage situation, I think that would be a good time to take money off the table. People have accused me of being too bullish in the past of buying throughout downturns so I hope to follow my own advice in this case.
I have been watching the 11th of Sept as a longer-term cycle momentum peak date for a market turn. With prices moving lower coming into the window, the low came in a day early- as did the turn.
The point is we have a clear decline into the turn date and a change of direction from down to up within the turn window! This is what LT cycle investing is all about!
The S&P 500 blasted above 1460 and chart resistance at last Wednesday's low, 1468: From a PRICE stand point, it's a perfect set up. The trend line is broke and the SPX closed well above the 1468 resistance line. 1440-1442 will be a little problamatic next week but I look for a consolidation with minor support at 1460'ish. Upside Fib extensions are around 1484 to 1486, which if reached will target the recent highs of 1500.
Looking out a few days, the one thing we have to watch for is a rally up to 1500 that then completely stalls out. This would be typical of this market's mood right now. Short term traders would probably sell & wait to reload here. There is very likely a small downside reversal coming about one week from today.
The NASDAQ is our friend though & has traced out the basic elements of a low level cup with handle formation. We still have a ways to go before we see a real upside breakout, at this point the pattern is still forming- but of course it carries a bullish message.
The next Longer-term cycle turn date is Friday October 12, technically due to be a high. Total volume contracted from Monday, which obviously isn't the greatest action for the bulls. But once again it's where the volume is- Volume solidly to the upside- which makes volume analysis tough now on the market. Buying pressure does continues to improve, allbeit at a modest pace. Technically the market remains in an under bought condition. Even with the big upside price moves, the 5-day RSIs remain low.
Now we have set the stage... what are the
Best Ten Buys Right Now?
To Be Continued Soon.....
~ stoney
I have been watching the 11th of Sept as a longer-term cycle momentum peak date for a market turn. With prices moving lower coming into the window, the low came in a day early- as did the turn.
The point is we have a clear decline into the turn date and a change of direction from down to up within the turn window! This is what LT cycle investing is all about!
The S&P 500 blasted above 1460 and chart resistance at last Wednesday's low, 1468: From a PRICE stand point, it's a perfect set up. The trend line is broke and the SPX closed well above the 1468 resistance line. 1440-1442 will be a little problamatic next week but I look for a consolidation with minor support at 1460'ish. Upside Fib extensions are around 1484 to 1486, which if reached will target the recent highs of 1500.
Looking out a few days, the one thing we have to watch for is a rally up to 1500 that then completely stalls out. This would be typical of this market's mood right now. Short term traders would probably sell & wait to reload here. There is very likely a small downside reversal coming about one week from today.
The NASDAQ is our friend though & has traced out the basic elements of a low level cup with handle formation. We still have a ways to go before we see a real upside breakout, at this point the pattern is still forming- but of course it carries a bullish message.
The next Longer-term cycle turn date is Friday October 12, technically due to be a high. Total volume contracted from Monday, which obviously isn't the greatest action for the bulls. But once again it's where the volume is- Volume solidly to the upside- which makes volume analysis tough now on the market. Buying pressure does continues to improve, allbeit at a modest pace. Technically the market remains in an under bought condition. Even with the big upside price moves, the 5-day RSIs remain low.
Now we have set the stage... what are the
Best Ten Buys Right Now?
To Be Continued Soon.....
~ stoney