Sell ES 931 Objective 780

Quote from TraderZones:

Quote from TheBestGuruEver:

first big bet in 3 months

this is called "gambling" and not trading. The market is not predictable more than a few days out.
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If you take yourself seriously and are not lying, you are either very rich by now, or very deluded. If you can prove a market is more predictable on any timeframe versus another, you are a genius. I maintain this is not true.
 
Quote from TheBestGuruEver:

it's a huge loss for one day.

...

losing ten thousand+ in one day isn't good on the ego.

...

i'll look to see what went wrong.

...

-17 points, 10 contracts.

simple. 1) you were gambling. 2) you are using bad money management 3) you need to learn to trade. 4) you are way overleveraged in a very volatile instrument
 
LOL. How is my trade "gambling"? Because I use a 30-point stop? I would say a 2-point stop is MORE gambling.

Trust me, I am not nearly overleveraged. 15k loss isn't that horrible when trading/investing. When the Dow fell 8,000 points, do you think people lost 100 bucks. haha.

My idea of money management and risk is obviously different than yours, doesn't mean it's bad.

I am even thinking of selling 20 YM contracts with possibly a 200-point stop.

IF I was an institution and got good order flow, better information, and more leverage, than I might (or might have to) use a 5 point stop on ES.

I've decided more than 2 round turns a week is over trading. Am I wrong? It's totally subjective.

Good luck.
 
Quote from TheBestGuruEver:

LOL. How is my trade "gambling"? Because I use a 30-point stop? I would say a 2-point stop is MORE gambling.

If there's no end of day surge today, this could prove to be a smart play in the end.
 
Quote from TheBestGuruEver:

LOL. How is my trade "gambling"? Because I use a 30-point stop? I would say a 2-point stop is MORE gambling..

Have you forgotten your OP?

First big bet in 3 months

95%+ of people on this forum are gamblers - just call a direction and plunk down the money - and they would be hard pressed to defend their calls. 5-% of the people on this forum are traders - they make the money off of the gamblers.
 
Quote from scriabinop23:

If you can prove a market is more predictable on any timeframe versus another, you are a genius. I maintain this is not true.

That was not what was said. That the [stock] market is effectively unpredictable after a few days out has been established by several. At that point, you are being an economist.
 
Quote from sclog1:

off topic:

I am wondering what happened to the Guru Passamonte's webpage called C**markets.com? cannot reach it.
Has he decided to cease operating it? Just wanted to have a look...

Nope, it's still there.
 
Quote from Optionpro007:

I think the OP opened this trade too early, but I like it. Good luck.

Because of the events of the last few days , I will like to add that chances that the OP will get stop out have increased drastically.
 
Because of the events of the last few days , I will like to add that chances that the OP will get stop out have increased drastically.

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I'm sure most people would rather I failed then succeeded, but what "events" are these? The markets like to close "bullishly" on a Friday only to trap technicians and reverse the next week. I have no clue, which I why I wait for more "macro" set-ups and use a wide stop. Being a trader used to be fun, 20 round turns a day and all kinds of charts, but I still think you can make more money with bigger bets, wider stops, and much, much less trading.
 
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