Quote from sle:
You realize that options cost money for a reason?
Yep, but that's not really the issue.
The issue is why are such low probability trades like strangles and straddles so popular?
I suggest it's for the same reason people invest in lotteries.
People enjoy the fantasy of investing in HOPE.... IF.... MIGHT.
(H.I.M.)
And beccause those strategies sound pretty reasonable..... on paper.
There are plenty of other higher probability trades to consider risking ones cash in.
But they lack the potential dollar and % return fantasy, that investing in H.I.M. offer.
People love a good story.
And few strategies read as good on paper, as the potential happy ending offered by straddles and strangles
I think the best trade is one that tries to balance the blend of potential with probability.
The fantasy of HOPE.... IF.... MIGHT, that straddles and strangles offer, tend to pull investors more towards potential vs probability.
Frankly, I think they are better off making a series of 3:1 bets on the roulett wheel in vegas.
A "potentially" good return, and better "probability" of actually winning 3:1
Investing in anything, is always about potential vs probability.