That's interesting logic, how about you deliver me 100 contracts of VIX? How about 100 contracts of Case Schiller Home Prices. How about 100 contracts of PJM Western Hub Real-time Peak MWH? I could go on and on and on about non-deliverable futures, fops, and even the cash settled CBOE index options on SPX, RUT, and the Nasdaq 100. Clearly, your definition of gambling bucket shops based on deliverability leads just a tad bit to be desired?I said somehow for a very specific reason. The merits of calling binary options anything but gambling are suspect at best. NADEX should be regulated as a casino and not a legitimate trading firm. It is the trading equivalent of horse races. If you lose you do not own anything, and cannot call them and say "execute my option and deliver to me my stock" within the timeframe allotted (as far as I know). This treads awfully close to how real old-time bucket shops worked. In fact, it's almost a word-by-word redefinition. In theory, if I called AMP and asked for delivery of 5000 bushels of corn - it could happen. I would have to put up millions in performance bonds, but I could do it. If I had a weekly option at TDA and executed it I would get the underlying delivered to me without question. Last I checked, NADEX does nothing of the sort.
To me, NADEX is just a bucket that paid the CFTC enough to look the other way. Whereas the CFTC may prevent them from outwardly pocketing cash illegally - they are certainly operating the same business model as every other fly by night binary options shop and for that they are very deserving of criticism. Regulate them like a casino and you will hear no complaints from me. The house edge is so absurd it would be crazy to think they aren't taking the other side of every single trade.
The real question though is one I already asked but you seem to have missed. You can make offers inside the spread on Nadex now. You can set yourself up as a full fledged market maker with only $500K in capital (I double checked that number). If there's this massive "house edge" you're so sure is there, why in the world aren't you (and everyone else) taking advantage of it by acting in the same capacity as "the house"?
And while you're not going to get sued for defamation here on ET, words do have consequences and you're a generally intelligent and civil guy. Claiming that Nadex "paid the CFTC enough to look the other way" is a pretty damn serious allegation to make without a scintilla of evidence, don't you think? Wouldn't you think such an unsupported allegation would reflect poorly on you, at the very least?
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