Scotland Votes - GBP - big move Thursday!

JTrades said:
Dear moderator,

it seems this thread has been infected with smallpox smallStops. Please feel free to inoculate against this disease as I fear it could be infectious and detrimental to the well being of others.

Yours sincerely,
Sufferer
More...

I assumed you might have wanted to understand why this vote of independence is taking place.
Are you a trader yes or no?
Also, if a yes vote happens, that could force the UK to fully integrate in the EU, and an increase in the Euro.
So a good trade is to short GBP/Euro and long term trade if a yes vote, and not just a GBP/USD short that would have a smaller move long term.
 
eurusdzn said:
A Poll at the pub is different from a poll at the hearth.
Little Angus needs porridge and biscuits.
Along with JYel reversing treasury yeilds mid week it could be a good week for risk.
Or not.
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I fully agree with you.
So it is going to be interesting to see the demographics that votes yes, vs the one that votes no.
I'd be comparing the small town/villages vs the big agglomerations like Glasgow or Edinburgh.
 
eurusdzn said:
A Poll at the pub is different from a poll at the hearth.
Little Angus needs porridge and biscuits.
Along with JYel reversing treasury yeilds mid week it could be a good week for risk.
Or not.
More...

Yes, you probably speak sense... I think.
 
smallStops said:
I assumed you might have wanted to understand why this vote of independence is taking place.
Are you a trader yes or no?
Also, if a yes vote happens, that could force the UK to fully integrate in the EU, and an increase in the Euro.
So a good trade is to short GBP/Euro and long term trade if a yes vote, and not just a GBP/USD short that would have a smaller move long term.
More...

Welcome along! ;)

Trader? Yes, going to trade this Thursday at least. Honesty, hadn't thought in any depth. I agree more likely UK would integrate (at some point, still some way in future). GBP/EUR could be the better trade.
 
This potty independence thing could spread around the planet. The rise of weak little states would encourage the bigger ones to move in on them as in the past. So a certain recipe for turbulence, which will suit those interested in murder and mayhem. Only 5.7 million Scots. Will they want to stand up to Isl on their own ? Obviously not.
Any politician shouting the old worn out words of freedom, independence etc. is to be avoided imho. The revolutionaries of the past have yelled these slogans but have they ever delivered ? Of course NOT. Once in power they massacre millions - the lying douche bags !!

Take the case of Malta. They invited in the Communists after independence and then had to waste another 20 years getting rid of them. Now they have to suffer the nonsense the EU delivers to survive in this difficult world.
 
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