The People Who Made the Most Unbelievable Predictions
Prize: Permanently Disbarred from Political Punditry
These people must have been kidding when they threw out these ridiculous numbers, so from now on we should call them comedians not pundits. Jim Cramer's infamous crazy 440 electoral votes for Obama prediction
Anyone who gave Romney more than 300 votes. That includes the apologetic Newt Gingrich, The Hill's Dick Morris and Jamie Weinstein, Washington Examiner's Michael Barone, George Will (suggested Minnesota would go to Romney), Glenn Beck, Ed Morrissey, Larry Kudlow, Dean Chambers from Unskewed Polls (...), and James Pethokoukis at The American Enterprise Institute.
Anyone who said Obama would lose Pennsylvania. Obama got 52 percent of the vote here and won by 5 points. It wasn't really a swing state going in. That's you: David Martosko of The Daily Caller.
The Pundits With the Most Ridiculous Reasoning
Prize: Scarlet Letters.
These people just guessed based on nothing and paid for it in being wrong. Now they will pay for it further. Peggy Noonan. She had Romney winning because of "vibrations."
Meredith Jessup, The Blaze. Her reasoning for giving Romney 295-243. New Hampshire's State Motto: "The state may be surrounded by northeastern liberals, but its motto is âLive Free or Die.â I canât believe such a pro-freedom state would side with Michael Bloomberg in favor of Obama."
People who "split the difference" between two states because it felt fair. Philip Klein used this logic at the Washington Examiner. "So, Iâve decided to split the difference in my prediction," he wrote. That's not how this works.
http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2012/11/best-and-worst-pundit-predictors-2012/58846/#