You'd do best to ask an expert. If they tell you they are not sure, they are probably very wise. If they give you a pat answer, they are probably wrong and not really an expert. I am both not an expert and unsure.
Amazing "logic" here. You are not an expert but think you are qualified to judge what the expert says.
" Hey, I'm not a cardiologist, but if he tells me that I need surgery and he's really sure of it, I'm going to find a cardiologist that says he is not sure. Cause I'm not sure. And any person who is unsure must be smarter than the sure person. Logic 101" derp