Quote from christianhgross:
Clear uptrend? Now that is asking for trouble. There is no such thing as a clear uptrend. You see a clear uptrend after the fact...
People trade in many ways, and my preference is directional trend trading. Since that's my focus, I've become pretty good at figuring out when we are in a trending phase. To figure out the likely direction of a 1-2 month move before it happens, I like a combination of Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear survey, the RSI 14-day and 14 day stochastic on the $SPX, the average five day range of the NYSE $TICK, and the chart look and quantity of CANSLIM stocks in the market. Combine this with short term timing in the market (using $SPX for RSI-5day, $NYAD, $NYUD, $TRIN extremes, and $NYMO), you can buy pull backs in individual securities (like 3-7%) to go long calls, and you have an effective trading system.
What is your system?