Sam Zell: "US won't enter recession; sees housing recovery in Spring"

Quote from syswizard:

IMHO Sam Zell's been a pretty lucky camper most of his career and I say this time he's wrong.
Plus, what economics degree does he hold anyway ?

what does holding an economics degree have to do with it?

lucky is a word used by those afraid of hard work, a way to explain circumstances not understood or prepared for, an inability to see cause and effect
 
Quote from syswizard:

IMHO Sam Zell's been a pretty lucky camper most of his career and I say this time he's wrong.
Plus, what economics degree does he hold anyway ?

Yeah him and that Warren guy what do they know.
 
Quote from mcheema:

Is Sam Zell a buyer or seller of stateside assets?
I remember a year ago after sellling equity office he was talking about making big investments overseas and getting into the game of building low income housing for emerging markets.
Not a bad thought as more and more capital is being allocated by beaurocrats.

He still owns his residential company among others, they are heavy in Mexico.
 
Quote from syswizard:

IMHO Sam Zell's been a pretty lucky camper most of his career and I say this time he's wrong.
Plus, what economics degree does he hold anyway ?

Somehow I doubt that Zell would disagree that he's been lucky. In fact, I would imagine that most billionaires would describe themselves as lucky. But let's face it, you don't make billions by luck alone. Zell is the smart money when it comes to real estate.

By the way, in his interview he said he was not an economist. He holds a law degree from Michigan as far as I know.

OldTrader

EDIT:

By the way, Zell's expertise is apartment and office buildings....not homes. I would assume he expresses his opinion about housing because the media asks for it.
 
Sam got his break when he impressed Jay Pritzker and JP started financing his purchases. I don't offer that to take anything away from him...most people given a $1 million in buying power wouldn't know what to do with it and would blow it in no time.

Sam gets the concept of "go big or don't go at all" and had enough early success to keep him at the game.

As far as real estate:

Residential - What about up-trending interest rates and the affordability of fully amortized loan payments? Did the supply glut clear and I missed it?

Commercial - What does 35% down do to deal volume? Does 35% down make commercial real estate investing more/less attractive?

:D
 
Quote from flytiger:

Sam wouldn't lie. Why, he was on there to help everybody.

Go anywhere and shop for food, and listen to the lower class. 4$ milk, 2$ egg. $3 bread. On the way home, 3.50 for gas.

Start thinking for yourselves. Sam Zell Sold Equity Partners because he's smart. He did TV because he's smart.
=======================
Agree, shop for food Flytiger;
but maybe want to get some class diversification when it comes to food prices .

Bakery surplus has some bread bargains that would get Sam Zells attention. Finest of Whole wheat for less than $1.00/loaf

Eggs $1.00 / dozen in country;
less than that if your pets are hens. Home grown tomatoes are better/cheaper.

Maybe right on milk;
personally don't drink it.:cool:
 
<i>"Bakery surplus has some bread bargains that would get Sam Zells attention. Finest of Whole wheat for less than $1.00/loaf

Eggs $1.00 / dozen in country; less than that if your pets are hens.

Home grown tomatoes are better/cheaper"</i>

Bread deal sounds great... but what if we have to drive one hour to reach the nearest large bakery?

Days of $1 eggs are gone around here. What do you think they feed those chickens now? Priced wheat and corn lately?

Also, it is wintertime in much of the U.S. Layer hens need more than 13 hours of light, and heat. Who's lighting and heating the pet chicken henhouse with electricity? Add that to the cost of eggs.

Homegrown tomatos are unbeatable... for six weeks out of the year in most parts. The other 46 weeks they don't exist.

Zell lives in a very comfy bubble, and has no clue on what he said off the cuff. "Ultra-rich" does not equal "in tune with".
 
Quote from flytiger:

Sam wouldn't lie. Why, he was on there to help everybody. Just like the guys who say this isn't really a recession.

Go anywhere and shop for food, and listen to the lower class. 4$ milk, 2$ egg. $3 bread. On the way home, 3.50 for gas.

You'll get a Democratic Prez, because the people are feeling poor. And when the bottom 30% of the country sufferes, everybody suffers. Why do you think all politiicians are so anxious to give you $600? It's like a bad parent giving into a kid to keep him from crying.

Start thinking for yourselves. Sam Zell Sold Equity Partners because he's smart. He did TV because he's smart. He doesn't work for you, and he doesn't care about you.

Indeed! Well said.
 
Quote from makloda:

The US economy will avoid recession as the housing market begins to recover this spring, according to billionaire investor Sam Zell.

Speaking on "Squawk Box" this morning, Zell attributed much of the current economic troubles to fear-mongering and politicking by Democratic presidential contenders Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama.

"Obviously what we have going on is an attempt to create a self-fulfilling prophecy," said Zell, chairman of Equity Investments Group and owner of the Chicago Cubs, Chicago Tribune, Los Angeles Times and other companies. "We have two Democratic candidates who are vying with each other to describe the economic situation worse.

"The reality is that if you live on Wall Street and you're in the credit markets the world couldn't be worse. If you're a farmer and you're getting $25 for your wheat, you're having a great time. If you're a CEO and you've got a balance sheet that's bullet-proof, you're in a great position. This whole thing is way out of control, way out of hand."

Zell said that although he doesn't try to pick bottoms in markets he believes housing has hit its nadir and will turn around this spring as inventory clears out.

More: http://www.cnbc.com/id/23350846/site/14081545


Zell is 100% right.

He is a tough guy. He knows he can face anything if it comes down to it. Its the same way I feel.

But the cowardly weak crowd of depressed asses in this country have to drag themselves over hot coals everyday. Doom and Gloom enshrines their whole living existence.

They complain, whine, moan and bitch to the walls. They are the ones who do not have the nerve to face life as it comes.
 
Quote from day7793:

Zell is 100% right.

He is a tough guy. He knows he can face anything if it comes down to it. Its the same way I feel.

But the cowardly weak crowd of depressed asses in this country have to drag themselves over hot coals everyday. Doom and Gloom enshrines their whole living existence.

They complain, whine, moan and bitch to the walls. They are the ones who do not have the nerve to face life as it comes.

They are the ones who refused to be fed propaganda by scoundrels.

Thank you Sam Zell, I heard this all before. "What housing bubble ? there is no housing bubble!" And "we support the strong dollar policy."
 
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