Safe to go short?

In a bull market be long: in a bear market be short: if unsure, be in cash.

Be aware that if you short a falling stock in a bull market, someone somewhere is quite possibly accumulating cash with which to make a bid to take over that company whose stock you're shorting - even the rumour of a predator could wipe out everything you've done.
 
Last edited:
Hi all,

I’d like to take a bit of a short position on the market. Not going to be a long term trade but I’m having a debate with myself putting it on.

Seems this China deal was a huge catalyst but what else is propping this market up?

It's only safe to go short when Trump loses the election.
 
and what the stars say ??? do we have any astrology-market experts here ?? :D


Well the other night I saw a shining star in the east. Then these 3 guys came by who seemed to be wise guys and they said they were intent on following this star no matter where. So I thought well that's just going to lead to trouble.....

'course, it might have just been a police helicopter.......
 
Hi all,

I’d like to take a bit of a short position on the market. Not going to be a long term trade but I’m having a debate with myself putting it on.

Seems this China deal was a huge catalyst but what else is propping this market up?


It's like asking "why can't I knock this guy out" when you have thrown everything at him. The time for the haymaker is when he's already staggering and almost falling over.

When shorting anything, the tactical equivalency is a topping pattern (trend failure, usually seen as a broken parabola or head and shoulders pattern). Are you seeing anything like that here? (2008 shown in the far left for reference):
 

Attachments

  • SP500_longterm.JPG
    SP500_longterm.JPG
    32 KB · Views: 25
It's like asking "why can't I knock this guy out" when you have thrown everything at him. The time for the haymaker is when he's already staggering and almost falling over.

When shorting anything, the tactical equivalency is a topping pattern (trend failure, usually seen as a broken parabola or head and shoulders pattern). Are you seeing anything like that here? (2008 shown in the far left for reference):

Exactly. Double tops really do happen. Sometimes you get triple bottoms. But they happen!

upload_2019-12-31_12-33-34.png
 
Back
Top