S/R Emini Journal

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Quote from rverheyen:

Bullflag and then a bearflag? Or is this neither?

Shouldn't there be a trend before a flag is valid?

Also a bigger triangle is broken to the upside. Is this a valid triangle and when do you take a long/short in this?

There is still no volume so maybe it's better to wait?

not quite broken IMHO
 

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Quote from 5Pillars:

I fully agree.........this is grab what you can trading until Monday (unless we get a good reaction off CPI release tomorrow).

Base hits guys, base hits.....they add up fast and win most games! :)


OH...and I forgot to mention the ES days cumulative "delta" has been negative most of the day......now down over -10,000 contracts.
 
Quote from 5Pillars:

Base hits guys, base hits.....they add up fast and win most games! :)


OH...and I forgot to mention the ES days cumulative "delta" has been negative most of the day......now down over -10,000 contracts.

nice one, thanks. But wouldn't you say 10k in comparison with over 500k already traded does not really say much.
 
Quote from romik:

this is a better picture, you can see a pennant, bull flag, bullish channel

Tnx for the feedback romik

It's all about what chart you are using i guess.

Now I have a valid triangle...

What chart are you looking at? What means 155b/2?
 

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Quote from romik:

nice one, thanks. But wouldn't you say 10k in comparison with over 500k already traded does not really say much.


No it is showing that we have a lack of interest and no "accumulation" yet ----- more like overall equilibrium with sideways range chop at this point of the day.

Also, there is a bunch of sellers between 1329.00 and 1330.00 that we would need to get through to get a real push today.
 
For those of you who scalp for 1-2 points on ES and haven't looked at the ER, consider:

ATR(10) ER=10 points or $1,000

ATR ES(10)=10 points or $500

To get a 1 point or $50 profit on the ES you need a 1.50 move (due to selling on the bid buying on the ask).

To get a $50 profit on the ER you need a .70 point move.

Which is easier?

.70 of the ATR of 10 is a smaller move than 1.50 of the ATR of 10 by half the amount.

Of course, this works both ways, but for scalping I have found the ER to be easier than the ES.
 
I am not sure how this thing is going to go. I have a pennant but if I look at a 15 minute chart looks like it would go down if I look at a 60 minute it looks like it will go up. You could probably play it safe and go long one a complete breakout at 1328.75 or short at 1324.00
 

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