S/R Emini Journal

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Quote from belavia:

Congratulations! Could have gone long around 11.75 on the triangle breakout from the 5 I showed you. Is there too much risk in that play? [/QUOTE

What is risk? Trading is a very risky business, so you have to control risk.

I think what you are asking is - what was the probability of trading a breakout of that triangle? I really don't know, as I have not backtested that pattern. Maybe Vol, Gary and anyone else has an opinion on this pattern. No pattern is bullet proof though. You have to always look at the bigger picture. What is the current short-term trend? Uptrend. Therefore, IMHO, any bullish pattern would offer better odds, than a bearish one. Though, of course, this can be argued about, as there are so many time frames that so many entities trade, that my argument might not have enough collateral on 1,2,3,5,10 min TF based trades.
 
It certainly looks like we got ourselves a trend day, so try pulling up a 1-3 min chart and set-up a channel (upwards), where buying lows and selling position near the top of the channel (.5-.75 off the high of the channel), is a technique offering good odds.
 
Quote from romik:

thread closed for lunch LOL
lol, oops, I just had to drive somewhere for a bit..
Why 1314 in particular? My chart is pretty limited, so if there so obvious resistance from earlier on, forgive me.
 
Quote from belavia:

lol, oops, I just had to drive somewhere for a bit..
Why 1314 in particular? My chart is pretty limited, so if there so obvious resistance from earlier on, forgive me.

on daily it's the high of the channel.
 

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Quote from romik:

that's my target, I just need the price to break out of the pennant to the upside, trapping the sellers.

I just got back and saw you got your money. Way to go...:)
 
Quote from 4re:

I just got back and saw you got your money. Way to go...:)

Cheers :D, shall we break 1314 today? That would be exciting stuff!

And Belavia, you are right! Do you see how that uptrend channel is working so far?
 
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