Quote from romik:
I don't think there is definite way of knowing, though prime S and R levels together with aggressive momentum acceleration would indicate stops triggered and being closed. The earlier question about "over inflated balloon" is my way of knowing that it is going to pop and it always does, difference being that sometimes there is a hell of a bang - nice S/R been hit ie. stops triggered and closed and other times it kinda sneakily pops on you like a condom, without you knowing it, where exit monitoring is a task and a half, that's what happened to me on my last trade on Friday. Though, the Big Bang theory still worked, it certainly popped, I just didn't have the bottle to believe that it would.
I knew you had something in mind when you posed that question, that is why I bit on it. And yes I agree with you. We have been trading this way on the ES long enough to have been on the right side of those pops quite a few times haven't we.
On another note: Today I was watching the end of the PGA tournament. Tiger was up by 5 or 6 over everybody. At the 17th he got a bogey. You could tell that eventhough nobody had a chance of beating him he was still upset with that bogey. Now he composed himself before teeing off on the 18th and played it perfectly and won. As expected. Now that made me start thinking about the emotion and trading thing we have discussed. I think it is alright to be mad or upset after a losing trade as long as you are able to compose yourself before the next trade. If not don't trade. Maybe one day I'll be able to trade like Tiger plays golf. He doesn't win them all but he wins enough for people to remember him that is for sure. Just something to think about and strive for.
