S&P500 Cycles

hard for the market to go down when the government has an interest not to let it.

that timeframe is mr greenspan's. so one fed chairman has one agenda.
 
Hi,

“El Niño” (ENSO) vs. S&P 500

I’m searching the eventual influence from the cyclic climatic disaster “El Niño” (ENSO) and the S&P500 or any other US index or future.

It seems clear this influence as is possible to see here



I take the information from:

http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/jawf/enso/sstdep.gif

http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/jawf/enso/obs7074.gif

http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/jawf/enso/obs7579.gif

http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/jawf/enso/obs8084.gif

http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/jawf/enso/obs8589.gif

http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/jawf/enso/obs9094.gif

http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/jawf/enso/obs9599.gif

http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/jawf/enso/obscurr.gif


Salut
 

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You are correct in the sense that price cycles exist. I have done extensive research and method development on cycles and know for a fact that market cycle methods which uses straight symmetry or constant ratios work only in about 30%. Same for ElNino, astro stuff, electric frequencies,Gann,Elliot and such.
 
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