s&p just made intermediate term top @ 1431.8

did the s&p make an intermediate term top @ 1431.8?

  • Yes, it will last thru 3/31/07

    Votes: 9 15.8%
  • No, it will be topped in the 1st qtr of 2007

    Votes: 32 56.1%
  • i don't know / i don't care / go away thorn

    Votes: 16 28.1%

  • Total voters
    57
Quote from ACM Trader:

Still pretty early in the game. Your call is for the next 3 months. We will see. But today was a remarkable reversal. I was just able to catch a little bit of it. But much less than what the market offered.

Like i said, with the futures where they were yesterday, the chances of this call being proven correct were maybe 1%. Now its alittle higher.
 
Quote from thorn:

you sound and talk very similar to another poster. Oh, and you're new here! I wonder who you can be??

I started this thread and said 1431.8 was an intermediate term top. And so far it is. So wtf are you talking about?

Thorn, relax... If anyone had taken that short they would've taken 2:1 risk:reward. That's all I am stating. I agree that it's perhaps a 1-2% probability [based upon a 1231 no touch struck at 1432], so it's a bold statement. What happens if you're wrong?
 
Quote from jimmyneutron:

If anyone had taken that short they would've taken 2:1 risk:reward. That's all I am stating. I agree that it's perhaps a 1-2% probability [based upon a 1231 no touch struck at 1432], so it's a bold statement. What happens if you're wrong?

"if" i'm wrong, its more like "when". The chances of this call being correct are small. Its a bold call, and so far its held up, that's all.
 
Quote from ACM Trader:

Well, with this volatility we might see 1431 tomorrow ! Who knows, except Thorn, of course, who knows it all.

If i knew it all, i would have made more than +22% last year. And i wouldn't have suffered through a rare losing quarter (4th quarter). That makes 2 quarters in the last 44 where i lost.
 
Quote from thorn:

"if" i'm wrong, its more like "when". The chances of this call being correct are small. Its a bold call, and so far its held up, that's all.

FWIW, I sold 50 ES last night at 1437.50... horrible trade as I cut it off at 1432.00. I don't think 31 will hold on cash, but I've got a way you do 300% on that call if you're correct. :)

Talk to you bank and get permissioned to trade index exotics:

March SPX 1445 no touch, $310,000 debit, $1,000,000 payout if not touched. You're nuts to trade vanilla product.
 
Quote from thorn:

If i knew it all, i would have made more than +22% last year. And i wouldn't have suffered through a rare losing quarter (4th quarter). That makes 2 quarters in the last 44 where i lost.

That is pretty good. Do not take my comments too seriously. I respect all kinds of trading systems, strategies, etc.. I think your goal here is more for entertainment purpose than anything else. And entertaining it is. We're cool, as would say my daughters !
 
Quote from ACM Trader:

I think your goal here is more for entertainment purpose than anything else. And entertaining it is. We're cool, as would say my daughters !

You may be right about that. But obviously i take my trading very seriously as well. I akin my attitude here to the villains i see in the WWE. They are looking to get a rise from the crowd, and i supposei am as well. How'm i doin?
 
Why do we have to make this like the WWE? Why cant we just try to further our goals of making money?

I put up a thread called "Strategy Weds" and one of the responses was something like "kings do not make predictions". Then I put another thread up about a possible swing trade in Ethanol stocks. Although the thread was serious and I did receive some good responses, there were a few who insisted on a political discussion of the topic which went far beyond my discussion of possible entry points in the swing.

Sometimes the maturity on here is awful and not what I would imagine from "elitetraders". In fact, sometimes I believe its a few bored high school kids out in the midwest on here looking to get a good laugh.

There are many notable guys on here who manage hedge funds and hold other key positions. If it is not too much to ask, I wish I could discuss strategy on here without the midwest high school kid routine getting in the way.

In fact, I didnt realize Dr. Brett was on here and thats one guy that I have many questions and would love to see him post. However, I guess there will be some who will keep a man of this caliber from responding.

I do give props to Don Bright who manages to cut through the high schoolers and manages to deliver mature and well thought out responses.

Quote from thorn:

You may be right about that. But obviously i take my trading very seriously as well. I akin my attitude here to the villains i see in the WWE. They are looking to get a rise from the crowd, and i supposei am as well. How'm i doin?
 
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