S&p 5500....a drop of 25% would feel like a depression, however............

[S2007S]

A 25% drop in the s&p would take it down to 4125....just 4125.

If the spy were to fall 25% most would feel as if a depression was here, forget a recession, a depression....I say that because even a simple 3% pull back has nearly everyone in panic mode so a 25% drop would literally feel like the end was here, the fed I can guarantee you would have rates down to 3%.....there would be emergency fed meetings and biden making an announcement to stay calm and keep investiing........but you know what's really hilarious and absolutely fascinating, is that a 25% drop in the s&p would take right back to October 2023...yes a 25% drop would take you to just 9 month lows, not 2 or 5 or even 10 or 23 year lows...absolutely not even close.....Just 9 month lows....just let that sink in for a moment and let that percolate into your skull. ....

 

[maxinger]

A 25% drop in the s&p would take it down to 4125....just 4125.

If the spy were to fall 25% most would feel as if a depression was here, forget a recession, a depression....I say that because even a simple 3% pull back has nearly everyone in panic mode so a 25% drop would literally feel like the end was here, the fed I can guarantee you would have rates down to 3%.....there would be emergency fed meetings and biden making an announcement to stay calm and keep investiing........but you know what's really hilarious and absolutely fascinating, is that a 25% drop in the s&p would take right back to October 2023...yes a 25% drop would take you to just 9 month lows, not 2 or 5 or even 10 or 23 year lows...absolutely not even close.....Just 9 month lows....just let that sink in for a moment and let that percolate into your skull. ....

For goodness sake, write from the traders' and not investors' point of view.
We are not members of eliteinvestor.com but elitetrader.com.

Learn to write with a positive and not negative mindset.

If S&P 55000 moves 25%, that is a very great trading opportunity!!
Then there will be many happy faces (and also many sad faces).

Let the Fed and Biden do what they are paid to do.
Our job is to
buy low sell high
sell high buy low.

 

[PPC]

.......but you know what's really hilarious and absolutely fascinating, is that a 25% drop in the s&p would take right back to October 2023...yes a 25% drop would take you to just 9 month lows, not 2 or 5 or even 10 or 23 year lows...absolutely not even close.....Just 9 month lows....just let that sink in for a moment and let that percolate into your skull. ....[/QUOTE]

What’s also interesting (or rather scary) is that many newer traders have been rewarded by the market going up and up and up and making money without knowing anything.

Recently I spoke with a 27-year-old lady that was bragging to be a successful trader. I asked her few questions, and she had no frigging idea what her strategy was, she never heard of risk management, etc.All she knew was that historically the market “always” goes up, and that all one needs to do is to hold on to the stocks and not be afraid of the “wiggles”, and that her growing account was a proof of how good she was.

Personally, I’m scared shit to hold any long (equity) position overnight at these extended levels, and so it’s purely option spreads for me. Ultimately, the market is always right, it is what it is.

 

[v-shape-0DTE]

What’s also interesting (or rather scary) is that many newer traders have been rewarded by the market going up and up and up and making money without knowing anything.

Recently I spoke with a 27-year-old lady that was bragging to be a successful trader. I asked her few questions, and she had no frigging idea what her strategy was, she never heard of risk management, etc.All she knew was that historically the market “always” goes up, and that all one needs to do is to hold on to the stocks and not be afraid of the “wiggles”, and that her growing account was a proof of how good she was.

Personally, I’m scared shit to hold any long (equity) position overnight at these extended levels, and so it’s purely option spreads for me. Ultimately, the market is always right, it is what it is.

It's not scary. They are the lucky ones. They wouldn't even know what a bear market looks like and that's a good thing. They don't even think about being a bear and missing all these gains. They understand that the market is never going down. Much easier to make money when you don't fear a "crash" that's never going to happen.

 

[Overnight]

It's not scary. They are the lucky ones. They wouldn't even know what a bear market looks like and that's a good thing. They don't even think about being a bear and missing all these gains. They understand that the market is never going down. Much easier to make money when you don't fear a "crash" that's never going to happen.

I suppose the one good thing we all can take away from your bluster is that when the market has it's next correction, you will not be impacted, because you do not have real money in the market. Neither does your fried EqTrdr.

 

[newwurldmn]

What’s also interesting (or rather scary) is that many newer traders have been rewarded by the market going up and up and up and making money without knowing anything.

Recently I spoke with a 27-year-old lady that was bragging to be a successful trader. I asked her few questions, and she had no frigging idea what her strategy was, she never heard of risk management, etc.All she knew was that historically the market “always” goes up, and that all one needs to do is to hold on to the stocks and not be afraid of the “wiggles”, and that her growing account was a proof of how good she was.

Personally, I’m scared shit to hold any long (equity) position overnight at these extended levels, and so it’s purely option spreads for me. Ultimately, the market is always right, it is what it is.

she’s probably richer than you.

 

[S2007S]

For goodness sake, write from the traders' and not investors' point of view.
We are not members of eliteinvestor.com but elitetrader.com.

Learn to write with a positive and not negative mindset.

If S&P 55000 moves 25%, that is a very great trading opportunity!!
Then there will be many happy faces (and also many sad faces).

Let the Fed and Biden do what they are paid to do.
Our job is to
buy low sell high
sell high buy low.

That entire post was positive... how could you not decipher that within my words....

The drop of 25% would be a huge positive for anyone wanting to get the hottest sale on every stock ahead of the ongoing continuous rally that will last well into the next decade ...not only that but the next positive is that the 25% sell off would only take us back 9 months, not 9 years or 19 years, but 9 months so that is a huge positive for all....
There is nothing but absolute positive vibes in that post....

 

[PPC]

she’s probably richer than you.

Why some people have their entire lifesavings in an extended and concentrated stock market without hedging their risk and protecting their profits with options is beyond me.

Here is an interesting article.

https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/is-the-sp-too-concentrated.html

 

[newwurldmn]

Hedging a long only only works if you are going to monetize your hedge by buying more on a dip. otherwise it’s just a drag on your returns.

Index funds are inherently momentum driven - buying more as the stock goes up; reacting to the market rather than predicting the market; and other hackneyed elitetrader phrases.

Why some people have their entire lifesavings in an extended and concentrated stock market without hedging their risk and protecting their profits with options is beyond me.

Here is an interesting article.

https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/is-the-sp-too-concentrated.html

View attachment 343299

 

[nitrene]

What is the macro event to create a 25% pullback? The worst presidential debate in history didn't even flinch this market. I think only higher rates would tank this market.