S&P 500 looking very toppy

Is the S&P 500 about out of gas?

  • Yes, rubberbird is usually correct

    Votes: 67 33.3%
  • No, there's more upside ahead

    Votes: 46 22.9%
  • I don't know/ I don't care/ the bird is an idiot

    Votes: 88 43.8%

  • Total voters
    201
Quote from spike500:

Don't fight the trend, because in the long run it is for 100% sure that you lose.

I'm not fighting any trend that I can see.

This is a pretty nuetral macro market 10000 - 10900

If I'm guilty of one thing it's trading smack dab in the middle of it but I'm not looking to knock it out of the park either.
 
Quote from Samson77:

Third time I've been stopped b/e sheesh

I feel for you this choppiness is killing me. You try to hold and not take fast profit and you keep losing alittle more. I told myself I will hold until close. I have a feeling it will drop down fast and not give people time to short. I hate this fucking market.
 
Quote from SWScapital:

The RUT has been LEADING the charge it has made more new highs..the SPX has not made as many..thats what leaders do...they LEAD.

The RUT closed at 640.44 on 1/3/05 and made new highs at 644.04 on 6/16, 644.2 on 6/17, 653.24 on 7/5, 662.14 on 7/8, 671.74 on 7/11 for a total so far on the year of 5 new highs.

The SPX closed at 1202.1 on1/3/05 and made new highs on 2/25 @ 1211.35, 1222.1 on 3/4, 1225.3 on 3/7 for a total of 3 new highs on the year.

RUT = 5 new highs so far in 05
SPX = 3 new highs so far in 05

Not here to argue...just talking facts.

Facts?? The S&P made 2005 highs, the Russell made All-time highs. There is a difference. Fact.

Loosen up, amigo. I'm just having alittle fun. The market is oh so boring. I haven't been stopped out of nothing...yet. The only thing i've been stopped out of..is excitement.
 
Quote from brokerboy:

I feel for you this choppiness is killing me. You try to hold and not take fast profit and you keep losing alittle more. I told myself I will hold until close. I have a feeling it will drop down fast and not give people time to short. I hate this fucking market.

brokerboy - It is a tough one even I admit that, anyone else but a scalper would be felling the same I'm sure.

I'm just happy to be breaking even today and yesterday!
 
Quote from rubberbird:

speaking of H&S, is that one shaping up on the 5M S&P chart?? walther says 1:45 et is a trading time, so maybe the shoulder is a formin!!

Tell me the bird did not nail the hell out of this call!! What an unbelievable call by the bird! Yes, the bird can read intra-day charts as well!!
 
Quote from rubberbird:

Facts?? The S&P made 2005 highs, the Russell made All-time highs. There is a difference. Fact.

Loosen up, amigo. I'm just having alittle fun. The market is oh so boring. I haven't been stopped out of nothing...yet. The only thing i've been stopped out of..is excitement.

No doubt there is a difference between alltime and yearly highs. It`s just my humble opinion that the RUT`s all time highs have helped lead the others along.

Sorry if I came off like a tight ass...didn't mean to dirty the birds thread with my interjection. :)

BTW, if I wasn't a trend follower I would take a shot at a shorty here also..nice overhead resistance...good luck!
 

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Quote from Samson77:

I'm not fighting any trend that I can see.

This is a pretty nuetral macro market 10000 - 10900

If I'm guilty of one thing it's trading smack dab in the middle of it but I'm not looking to knock it out of the park either.

I must agree that the market is very difficult today. My profit is below 50% of an average day. Yesterday however was a good day.

In a market as today you can only make money in taking tops and bottoms.
 
Quote from SWScapital:

No doubt there is a difference between alltime and yearly highs. It`s just my humble opinion that the RUT`s all time highs have helped lead the others along.

Sorry if I came off like a tight ass...didn't mean to dirty the birds thread with my interjection. :)

BTW, if I wasn't a trend follower I would take a shot at a shorty here also..nice overhead resistance...good luck!

The bird's thread was sullied from the start. You didn't dirty it up. To the contrary, I appreciate anyone who can come in here and present a point of view. Kudos to you (for real)!
 
Yes Tol is on my list but I am waiting for earnings, you know they are going to blow them out and the short opportunity will come right after earnings, probably in ah.
 
Quote from spike500:

Why do so many traders always want to go opposite to the trend?

Because that's what's worked for the past 2 years, although this time the rally has some clear sailing. Don't underestimate the stupidity of the mutual fund managers to keep buying when the perception is that everything is great.
 
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