S and P 500 Death Cross

I saw this online today. He says that the 50 week moving average is about to intersect with the 100 week moving average.

I tried to plot it on a graph but I am not seeing it. I used 3 years instead of 2, but I still don't see it crossing anytime soon. It looks like they are running parallel to each other like they have for the last 3 years.

Either I plotted it wrong or he is fear mongering....

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Not all "death crosses" are created equal.

In a note to clients, Intermarket Strategy Ltd. Chief Executive and Strategist Ashraf Laidi points out that the S&P 500's 50-week moving average is falling below its 100-week moving average.

This "statistically significant" death cross has only happened twice is the past two decades, Laidi points out. The first took place in 2001 and was followed by a 37 percent decline in the index, while the second pattern occurred in 2008 and preceded a 48 percent drop.

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He posted a few graphs in the video with the DJI and the S and P, but doesn't bother illustrating the Death Cross.

Considering that it was the foundation of his story, it seems like it would be the obvious thing to do.

Am I missing something.......did I plot it wrong ?

BTW, how do you post a pic that is in the thread, without a PNG like I did ?

And how do you do a screen shot without posting your tabs at the top of the pic?


http://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-death-cross-could-123626285.html


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I didn't see the previous thread ( Wall Street Forum ) that was already started on this.

But, I am still dinging the guy for not illustrating his story with a relevant graph.
 
What did I do wrong ? Was it because I used the 3 year average?
The graph is plotted in weeks and I inserted 50 week and 100 week lines.

What should I have done ?
What site would you have used to plot the graph ?

You used the Barchart.com HI LOW moving average indicator which plots two moving averages from one indicator.

You need to put two moving averages on the chart. I attached a chart from barchart.com for what you should have done.
chart.png
 
Why this death cross? There are many others.

Because it was profiled in the news yesterday.
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the S&P 500's 50-week moving average is falling below its 100-week moving average.

This "statistically significant" death cross has only happened twice in the past two decades, Laidi points out. The first took place in 2001 and was followed by a 37 percent decline in the index, while the second pattern occurred in 2008 and preceded a 48 percent drop.

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So if it only happened twice in 20 years..and the massive drops that occurred in 2001 and 2008 followed it; that gets people's attention.



http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...actors-will-drive.aspx?source=iedfolrf0000001
 
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