Russia & Ukraine

Both sides are using GPS jamming at the battlefront. This has made GPS-based smart munitions such as the Russian FAB glide bombs and western munitions using GPS notoriously inaccurate with over 70% misses near the front.

This means that western nations (and Russia) will need to evolve their smart munitions to use other guidance systems rather than GPS -- and also protect themselves against other targeting electronic jamming. This may mean terrain tracking cameras in munitions and other technology less likely to be jammed will start to become more prevalent on the battlefield.

As a side note, I am also wondering when both sides will develop hand-held EMP impulse weapons that will take out small drones by frying their electronics as the drones attempt target individual troops and vehicles. Of course, these impulse weapons would also take out all the other electronics in the small local area which is a downside.


Russia's jamming of American weapons in Ukraine is showing the US what it needs to be ready for in a future fight
https://www.yahoo.com/news/russias-...ons-ukraine-211932570.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
  • Russia's electronic warfare has repeatedly foiled American precision weapons in Ukraine.
  • This highlights the need for the US to develop solutions before any great-power conflict.
  • Those may include different weapons, specific countermeasures, and the targeting of jamming systems.
Russian electronic warfare has created problems for some American-made precision weaponry in Ukraine, but Moscow is also showing its hand and telling the US what it needs solutions for to be ready for future fights.

Ukraine has employed US precision weapons, such as the HIMARS-fired Guided Multiple Launch Rocket Systems and air-launched Joint Direct Attack Munitions, throughout the war, but widespread Russian electronic warfare is regularly diminishing the effectiveness of these weapons.

Lt. Gen. Antonio Aguto, who's serving as the commander of Security Assistance Group-Ukraine, addressed the problem in December, saying electronic warfare directed at some of the US's "most precise capabilities" was "a challenge." Other US officials have identified these issues as well, adding that the US and Ukraine were working on solutions.

Any fixes developed to effectively counter the challenge posed by electronic warfare won't just benefit Ukraine. They're also set to help the US solve problems it has long been concerned about as it prepares for the possibility of great-power conflict.

Mark Cancian, a retired Marine Corps colonel who's a senior advisor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, explained to Business Insider that "the widespread GPS spoofing we see in Ukraine adds urgency to solving a problem DoD has long recognized: that wartime spoofing will reduce the effectiveness of its weapons."

Electronic warfare can be executed using cheap but effective technology, and both sides of the war are using it extensively. And these tactics are not used solely to foil precision-guided munitions. They can also be used to scramble the connection between an operator and a reconnaissance or strike drone.

Electronic warfare is a broad term that includes a variety of inexpensive options. Thomas Withington, an expert in electronic warfare and air defense who's an associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, said jamming was relatively straightforward, explaining to BI that it involved "blasting a GNSS receiver with noise to cause it to lose the position, navigation, and timing signal that it received from the satellite."

Spoofing, on the other hand, involves sending false GNSS information to the weapon's navigation system, sending it off course or trajectory. Jamming is easier and can be done with cheaper equipment and engineers, while spoofing is likely to be used in more specific instances, such as hiding locations from the enemy.

Both serve different purposes, but in either case, the effects can be deeply problematic for precision weaponry.

Ukraine has managed to adapt to the challenge, in some cases, by engaging in jamming of its own or locating Russian electronic-warfare sites and destroying them. Relying on alternative systems that don't depend on GPS or use other guidance systems, such as an inertial guidance system, helps bypass the problem. That's not always an option, though.

Within the Russian military, there's probably been increased interest in employing electronic warfare in battle, especially over the past year or so, because it's so effective at countering US-provided precision weapons.

Precision systems — such as Excalibur and GMLRS, which can be fired from US-provided M777 howitzers and HIMARS, respectively — are seeing shockingly decreased accuracy because of jamming.

"The philosophy behind weapons like Excalibur and JDAMs was that their reliance on GNSS, to an extent, was supposed to provide a level of precision," Withington said.

He said the capability and accuracy of those much-vaunted weapons were now in question, adding that it "not only has tactical and operational ramifications for the Ukrainians," but it could also raise questions about "the wider confidence others have in those systems."

Daniel Patt, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, wrote in a statement to Congress in March that the 155mm GPS-guided Excalibur artillery shell "had a 70% efficiency rate hitting targets when first used in Ukraine" but that "after six weeks, efficiency declined to only 6% as the Russians adapted their electronic warfare systems to counter it."

Patt added that "the peak efficiency of a new weapon system is only about 2 weeks before countermeasures emerge." That's valuable information for the US as it prepares for future fights.

The war in Ukraine has, as a defense expert previously told BI, been an "intelligence bonanza" and is giving the US an opportunity to learn how its precision weapons perform under modern threats such as electronic warfare. It's not theoretical. Instead, the US is watching a rival power engage its weapons in a real war.

Intelligence from the war builds on and probably advances years of research and discussion among US defense officials and experts about how electronic warfare would impact America's arsenal in a great-power conflict and how the US would need to adapt.

Cancian said the Department of Defense had been working on overcoming these threats by focusing on options such as using narrower signal bands or the generation of stronger signals that are able to burn through jamming attempts.

The threats, nevertheless, "remind us to be careful about expecting 'game changers,'" he said. "The other side always develops countermeasures that reduce effectiveness."

Despite the challenges, the US shouldn't completely write off its precision weapons should it one day find itself in a war with another great power, be it Russia or China, which would almost certainly employ electronic warfare as well.

Withington said that "even if that jamming has been quite successful, the tactical imperative behind this is to work out a way to outflank the effectiveness of that electronic attack," adding that while a strong Russian jamming signal might be effective, it'd also be easier to detect and destroy.

At a media event earlier this month, Doug Bush, the Army's acquisition chief, said it wasn't surprising Russia was able to jam US weapons. He said it was part of a "constant cycle" of innovation on both sides, adding that the US was learning that "with any precision weapon, you want multiple ways to guide it to its target."

For some weapons, that's already in the works. Earlier this week, the US Air Force announced a contract for add-on seekers for its extended-range JDAMs, the goal being to improve the JDAM to resist electronic jamming and instead lock onto the source of the jamming, targeting it.

Bush said the Army had created a team focused on adapting its weapons to electronic-warfare issues long before the war in Ukraine, signaling the Pentagon's clear understanding of the problem these capabilities pose.

Bush previously said in August that the Army was "fundamentally reinvesting in rebuilding our tactical electronic-warfare capability after that largely left the force over the last 20 years" and that the war in Ukraine had added "urgency" to those efforts.

Withington said efforts to adapt precision weapons to the threat were just one facet of a multilayered solution. Other solutions to the problem involve using other weapons and prioritizing targeting the point of origin for electronic-warfare signals early in a conflict.

"It is imperative that forces like the US and its allies see future battle in a case that they have to first establish electromagnetic superiority," he said, explaining that denying enemies from using the electromagnetic spectrum in any way would "massively degrade at the very least, if not prevent altogether" an enemy from interfering with its weapons.

Ultimately, though, as the US and Ukraine adjust to Russia's jamming and learn from the war, the "constant cycle" of innovation, as Bush said, is set to continue.

"The measure, countermeasure, counter-countermeasure that we're seeing in Ukraine is typical in war," Cancian said, adding that "no technology provides the ultimate advantage."

Read the original article on Business Insider
 
And once again the Russians completely fail.

Ukraine says it repulsed Russian bid to cross border
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c6pyv8q94g1o

Ukraine says it has repelled a Russian armoured attack in the north-eastern Kharkiv region, after Moscow's forces launched an incursion across the border and sought to break through defensive lines.

Kharkiv regional head Oleh Syniehubov said Russian reconnaissance groups had tried to penetrate the border, adding that "not a single metre has been lost".

"Russia has launched a new wave of counteroffensive operations in the Kharkiv sector," said Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

Ukrainian commanders have been expecting a summer offensive for some time, possibly even a bid to capture the regional capital Kharkiv. But officials are adamant Russia does not have the resources to do so.

Russia had the capability to aggravate the situation in border areas but not the ability to capture Ukraine's second city, said the head of Ukraine's centre for countering disinformation, Andriy Kovalenko.

Ukrainian reports suggested Russia was trying to create a 10km buffer zone for its Belgorod region, after a series of Ukrainian cross-border attacks.

Friday's small incursions over the Russian border form a familiar yet disturbing axis for Ukrainian forces.

The defence ministry in Kyiv said the attack started with the heavy bombing of the town of Vovchansk "using guided aerial bombs" with the support of artillery. Then, small Russian “scouting groups” moved in across the border, reportedly in several places.

The local head in Vovchansk, 75km (45 miles) north-east of Kharkiv, said the town had come under heavy attack from the early hours of Friday and civilians were being evacuated. Some 3,000 people live in Vovchansk and at least one person was killed and five more injured in the barrage, according to Kharkiv's regional leader.

"At approximately 05:00, there was an attempt by the enemy to break through our defensive line under the cover of armoured vehicles. As of now, these attacks have been repulsed, fighting of varying intensity continues," the defence ministry said.

President Zelensky said the Russians had been engaged "with our troops, brigades and artillery", but added that a fierce battle was under way.

Civilians were being evacuated from the Vovchansk district while reserve troops move in, officials added.

Moscow has been looking to capitalise on the delayed arrival of American ammunition and weaponry by continuing to push in the eastern Donetsk region.

The return of heavy fighting in the north-east further illustrates Russia's growing confidence and ambitions.

The deputy chief of Ukraine's military intelligence, Maj Gen Vadyn Skibitsky, told The Economist last week that Russia was gearing up for an assault on both Kharkiv and the northern region of Sumy. That warning was repeated by the commander of Ukrainian ground forces, Lt Gen Oleksandr Pavliuk.

Tens of thousands of Russian forces are said to have gathered on the border.

You could be forgiven for seeing a repeat of 2022, when Russia failed to capture Kharkiv and Sumy in the early weeks of its full-scale invasion. Russian forces did occupy the border town of Vovchansk for several months, until they were pushed out in September 2022.

Outwardly at least, officials and generals do not think either of the two regional capitals could fall.

Russia was unable to conquer either city when it had a larger, better-trained force than it does now. Ukrainian sources estimate around 90% of that original 150,000 army are either dead or wounded.


Military commentator Oleksandr Kovalenko has pointed out that Russia needed some 80,000 troops to capture the small eastern city of Avdiivka last February, after months of bombardment. Big cities such as Sumy and Kharkiv were on a completely different scale, he said.

Secondly, Russia has talked about creating a buffer zone between its Belgorod region and Ukraine.

That is because Ukrainian troops have continued to launch artillery strike on Russian territory, to the nervousness of some Western allies.
Visual in detail :
 
Pentagon Deals Russia a Blow Over Starlink
Published May 10, 2024
https://www.newsweek.com/pentagon-spacex-starlink-russia-ukraine-war-1899215?piano_t=1

The Pentagon has teamed up with Elon Musk's SpaceX to block the unauthorized use of Starlink satellite-based broadband systems by Russia's military in Ukraine, dealing a blow to Moscow in the ongoing war.

Assistant Secretary of Defense for Space Policy John Plumb told Bloomberg that the U.S. has been "heavily involved in working with the government of Ukraine and SpaceX to counter Russian illicit use of Starlink terminals."

stalink-terminal-ukraine.jpg

An antenna of the Starlink satellite-based broadband system donated by the U.S. tech billionaire Elon Musk in Izyum, Kharkiv region on September 25, 2022. The Pentagon has teamed up with Elon Musk's SpaceX to block... YASUYOSHI CHIBA/AFP/Getty Images

Starlink's terminals, operated by Musk's aerospace company SpaceX, provide users with high-speed internet and have been used extensively by Ukraine's forces in the war amid the full-scale invasion of the country. They are largely supplied via a $23 million contract with the Pentagon.

In February, Ukrainian soldiers claimed that Russia's military had been using the satellite communications network in Ukraine.

Ukraine's military intelligence chief told The Wall Street Journal in February that thousands of Starlink satellite communications terminals had been used by Russian troops in Ukraine "for quite a long time." He said they had been purchased from private Russian companies that obtained them from intermediaries who delivered the equipment via neighboring nations.

Musk has denied the sale of Starlink terminals in Russia. Newsweek has reached out to SpaceX and Russia's Foreign Ministry for comment via email.

Plumb said the Pentagon has "successfully countered Russian use" at this time, adding: "But I am certain Russia will continue to try and find ways to exploit Starlink and other commercial communications systems."

Although "it will continue to be a problem, I think we've wrapped our heads around it and found good solutions with both Starlink and Ukraine," Plumb added, declining to expand on what measures have been taken to block Russia's use of SpaceX's Starlink user terminals.

It comes days after Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts called on the Pentagon to tackle the issue, saying it poses a "serious national security threat" to the U.S. and its allies, WSJ reported.

"As a DoD contractor, SpaceX cannot allow its products or services to be used to undermine national security," Warren wrote in a letter addressed to Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, the publication reported on May 6.

"Defense contractors are paid big bucks to help the U.S. and our allies, not undermine U.S. foreign policy," Warren wrote on X, formerly Twitter, on May 7. "I'm asking [the Pentagon] to hold [SpaceX] accountable and ensure it keeps Starlink technology out of the hands of American adversaries."

In response to a Newsweek email on the matter in February, SpaceX did not provide a comment but linked to its statement posted on X.

"SpaceX does not do business of any kind with the Russian Government or its military," the statement said.

"Starlink is not active in Russia, meaning service will not work in that country. SpaceX has never sold or marketed Starlink in Russia, nor has it shipped equipment to locations in Russia. If Russian stores are claiming to sell Starlink for service in that country, they are scamming their customers.

"Starlink also does not operate in Dubai. Starlink cannot be purchased in Dubai nor does SpaceX ship there. Additionally, Starlink has not authorized any third-party intermediaries, resellers or distributors of any kind to sell Starlink in Dubai.

"If SpaceX obtains knowledge that a Starlink terminal is being used by a sanctioned or unauthorized party, we investigate the claim and take actions to deactivate the terminal if confirmed."

The statement did not explicitly address the question about the potential use of Starlink outside Russia, namely in occupied Ukraine, fueling further speculation.
 
Let's take a look at the average Russian soldier.

Grinning Russian cannibal who fried victim's heart and ate it released by Putin to fight in Ukraine
Convicted multiple murderer and self-confessed cannibal Dmitry Malyshev has been released from prison by Putin to fight in Ukraine on the frontline and is joined by another notorious criminal.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/grinning-russian-cannibal-who-fried-32726878

Yet another example of typical Russian soldier...

Russian ex-convict rapes and kills teenager in occupied Ukraine
https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/20...nd-kills-teenager-in-occupied-ukraine-en-news
 
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