I am somewhat inclined to believe elements of the article below.
Prigo is getting too big for his britches in Russia and he is going to end out dead. He knows that.
On the other hand -as discussed quite a while back- Vlad has become too big for his britches in parts of Africa. Originally Wagner became big by helping to be Vlad's private military force and do Russia's clandestine dirty work in Africa. But as a consequence of being bogged down in the Ukraine war, Putin cannot afford to maintain the same level of presence and resources in Africa as before. So Prigo is playing an even bigger role in Africa and getting involved in bigger and dirtier and more lucrative business with the local warlords and scumbags- taking Putin's share of the business. So if gives up on his ill-fated plan to oust Vlad he will live and continue to get rich in Africa and using the Wagner group elsewhere- in troublespots that are dangerous but not quite as deadly as getting bogged down in Ukraine. Probably a good move on his part.
So Vlad will get Prigo off the playing field in his backyard. But Vlad also will/would lose Wagner troops fighting for Russia- which in some places are the only Russian troops who have been willing to fight. That part is problematic for Putin. Extremely problematic.
It is rather complicated. Russia is and will continue to expand in Africa with Putin steal leading that effort. But Putin will lose much of that vast, off the books, warlord related deals and payoffs. Prigo will continue to absorb much of that with the backing of the Wagner private army. Not to worry about Vlad's income though.
Prigo's current dilemma is that wagner troops are getting slaughtered in Bakhmut.
He knows that he wants to end that madness and take his forces and go to Africa and some other places but if he pulls out, he will be seen as a loser with a defeat. But if he just grinds on there week after week, then the Wagner Group will just be totally devastated, if not already. And he starts from scratch again.
Wagner Group's Financier plans to get out of Ukraine and transfer Wagnerites to Africa – Bloomberg
https://news.yahoo.com/wagner-groups-financier-plans-ukraine-115042697.html
Yevgeny Prigozhin, Financier of Wagner Private Military Company, is preparing to wind down the military operations of his mercenaries in Ukraine and turn his attention to Africa.
Source: Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the situation
Quote: "Seen as an increasing threat by the security and political establishment, Prigozhin is struggling with a manpower and ammunition shortage in Ukraine after he was barred from recruiting from prisons, his primary source of recruits, and deprived of supplies."
Prigo is getting too big for his britches in Russia and he is going to end out dead. He knows that.
On the other hand -as discussed quite a while back- Vlad has become too big for his britches in parts of Africa. Originally Wagner became big by helping to be Vlad's private military force and do Russia's clandestine dirty work in Africa. But as a consequence of being bogged down in the Ukraine war, Putin cannot afford to maintain the same level of presence and resources in Africa as before. So Prigo is playing an even bigger role in Africa and getting involved in bigger and dirtier and more lucrative business with the local warlords and scumbags- taking Putin's share of the business. So if gives up on his ill-fated plan to oust Vlad he will live and continue to get rich in Africa and using the Wagner group elsewhere- in troublespots that are dangerous but not quite as deadly as getting bogged down in Ukraine. Probably a good move on his part.
So Vlad will get Prigo off the playing field in his backyard. But Vlad also will/would lose Wagner troops fighting for Russia- which in some places are the only Russian troops who have been willing to fight. That part is problematic for Putin. Extremely problematic.
It is rather complicated. Russia is and will continue to expand in Africa with Putin steal leading that effort. But Putin will lose much of that vast, off the books, warlord related deals and payoffs. Prigo will continue to absorb much of that with the backing of the Wagner private army. Not to worry about Vlad's income though.
Prigo's current dilemma is that wagner troops are getting slaughtered in Bakhmut.
He knows that he wants to end that madness and take his forces and go to Africa and some other places but if he pulls out, he will be seen as a loser with a defeat. But if he just grinds on there week after week, then the Wagner Group will just be totally devastated, if not already. And he starts from scratch again.
Wagner Group's Financier plans to get out of Ukraine and transfer Wagnerites to Africa – Bloomberg
https://news.yahoo.com/wagner-groups-financier-plans-ukraine-115042697.html
Yevgeny Prigozhin, Financier of Wagner Private Military Company, is preparing to wind down the military operations of his mercenaries in Ukraine and turn his attention to Africa.
Source: Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the situation
Quote: "Seen as an increasing threat by the security and political establishment, Prigozhin is struggling with a manpower and ammunition shortage in Ukraine after he was barred from recruiting from prisons, his primary source of recruits, and deprived of supplies."
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