Russia & Ukraine

I saw another source for this, this morning. I’m guessing this has been in the works with the last aid package coming in at $3 billion…


Equally mirrored by the Russians.

They have moved a lot of missiles in, and a massive number of troops. Some of the ones he has brought in are his best- we can snicker at that- but don't be too quick. Of course he is also bringing in tens of thousands of troops that have never handled a rifle until last week.

It's a bitch to say but the Russians are still advancing. Slowly but nevertheless.

What was discussed quit a while ago, is in fact what is happening. ie. that there would be a slow period and each side would use that to regroup- the Russians have troops coming in- the Ukrainians are always having weapons come in- but you wont find out how it all works out until they re-engage bigtime. Both sides are exhausted for sure.

Having just given the Russians a couple points and acknowledging some things, I will also say, that I honestly don't know what they are going to do for an encore in regard to troops an equipment if this upcoming surge does not work for them. There is not much more go-to to go-to. He does have the ability- and he is using it- to just step up the missile attacks to compensate, but there is a risk there to. As discussed, he planned well ahead. Doubtful he planned for a year-long war of this intensity and he will run low on missiles at some point.

The advantage is still on the Russians side at this point. But Putin does not have many tricks after this in regard to troops if it does not work. He can do nasty Shiite like unload all those missiles from the Black Fleet on to Odessa and Kiev and that will be nasty. The downside for the Ruskies though is that it just causes the Americans to give the Ukrainians better and longer range missiles.

What a mess. Yo Ruskies. Just go home already.
 
Kachovka bridge. Unpassable.

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Let's check


However Europe will have some struggles with gas and heating this winter due to Putin's stupidity and aggression...

Europe has little option but to rescue consumers from the energy crisis

With no end to Ukraine war in sight and transition away from Russian gas ongoing, scale of support will have to be massive
https://www.theguardian.com/busines...on-rescue-consumers-energy-crisis-ukraine-war
Whats missing from the Guardian article is what has been happening with regard to oil and gas supply realignment since the start of the war . This is covered in detail by the Yale Report. The outlook for Russia is grim, according to the assessment from Yale.
 
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