Time is running out on the Ukrainians and Russia just used thermo barrick ammo rounds on Ukraine soldiers. Very explosive and it burns. They will be encircled then, annihilated if the trend continues. Zelensky better sign a peace deal now. Later on, he might end up losing Mykolaiv and Odessa too so, Ukraine will lose all its ports and access to the sea. Russia will destroy most of the weapons sent by the US and NATO because they can easily spot it with spy satellites and drones. Very hard to hide howitzers and rocket artillery systems due to its huge bulk. You have to transport by train which they can attack or transport vehicles which are very slow moving. That is why Russia is attacking railways and fuel depots. You still need fuel for the huge trucks hauling those heavy military equipment as well as your tanks.
One of the big hurdles ahead too is that when the Ukrainians want to settle out on something, Russia will only agree to it if various sanctions are lifted. That will be a mess. The west keeps saying that it is up to Ukraine to decide when enough is enough or what is right for them and the west will not interfere in that. That's fine I suppose. But it is equally true that is up to the west and not ukraine to decide what sanctions are kept. Putin will not like that and will keep pounding Ukraine even beyond where Ukraine is willing to settle.
Big decision for Biden on the table right in front of him right now. If he provides long range missiles it definitely escalates. If he does not the Ukrainians will demonize him bigtime saying that Nato let them fight Nato's fight with Ukrainian soldiers and then would not supply them.
Unfortunately the same crew who brought us the withdrawal in AFG will be formulating the response on this. In other words they will screw it up in some way that people on both sides of the issue can't believe it. I am referring to the decision to provide/not provide missiles which is an American decision. Withdrawal or not on the ground is up to the Ukrainians.
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